NFL Week 4 picks, predictions, schedule, odds, fantasy suggestions

The Week 4 NFL schedule for the 2025 season brings some thrilling matchups.

Rookie QB Jaxson Dart will make his debut in opposition to the surging Chargers. Packers edge rusher Micah Parsons makes his extremely anticipated return to Dallas. And the Ravens and Chiefs — two of the league's impossible 1-2 groups — will face off in an AFC showdown.

We've got you coated with the whole lot you might want to know. Our NFL Nation reporters take you contained in the locker room with the perfect factor they heard this week, and ESPN Analysis offers a key stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest. Plus, analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody shares fantasy soccer intel. We even have Soccer Energy Index (FPI) matchup high quality scores (out of 100) and recreation projections, and three analysts — Pamela Maldonado, Moody and Walder — give us last rating picks for each recreation.

Let's get into the total Week 4 slate, which culminates with two “Monday Evening Soccer” matchups — one between the Jets and Dolphins on ESPN, and one between the Bengals and Broncos. (Recreation occasions are Sunday until in any other case famous.)

Leap to a matchup:
PIT-MIN | PHI-TB | CLE-DET
LAC-NYG | NO-BUF | WSH-ATL
CAR-NE | TEN-HOU | IND-LAR
JAX-SF | BAL-KC | CHI-LV
GB-DAL | NYJ-MIA | CIN-DEN

Thursday: SEA-ARI

9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Matchup score: 48.6/100
ESPN BET: MIN -2.5 (40.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Steelers: Pittsburgh's protection has allowed a league-high 32 performs of no less than 20 passing yards or 12 dashing yards this season. The Vikings enter Sunday's matchup with simply eight performs of 20 yards or extra, however they return a serious goal in WR Jordan Addison, who served a three-game suspension. Pittsburgh, although, might additionally get assist in the secondary with the potential return of S DeShon Elliott (knee) and CB Joey Porter Jr. (hamstring), who each have not performed since Week 1. — Brooke Pryor

What we're listening to on the Vikings: The Vikings had an opportunity to signal QB Aaron Rodgers, who as a substitute joined the Steelers after the Vikings dedicated to giving J.J. McCarthy first-team snaps all through the spring and summer season. McCarthy will miss his second consecutive recreation due to a sprained ankle, and Carson Wentz will begin. The query the Vikings requested themselves this offseason was if they might be higher with McCarthy on a rookie contract and a backup like Wentz, whose cap quantity is $1.2 million this season, or Rodgers at $14.2 million. Sunday's recreation can be a litmus take a look at for that query. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to know: The Vikings have allowed a median of 141.3 passing yards per recreation, which is the third fewest within the league. Alternatively, the Steelers are twenty fourth within the NFL in passing yards per recreation (184.0). — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Vikings LB Andrew Van Ginkel will document a pick-six. How might I not choose this? Van Ginkel is the king of leaping horizontal passes and taking them to the home, and nobody loves a display screen move greater than Steelers offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. It is a match made in defensive landing paradise. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Vikings

Fantasy nugget: Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson struggled early within the season however exploded in Week 3 with 15.9 fantasy factors. He tied for the staff lead in receptions (5) and completed second in targets (six) and yards (49). Regardless of splitting time with Josh Oliver and Ben Yurosek, Hockenson has performed extra snaps and routes, conserving him a fantasy starter, particularly with a good matchup in opposition to a Pittsburgh protection that provides up the second-most factors to tight ends. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Steelers are 20-8-2 ATS (in opposition to the unfold) as dwelling underdogs (18-12 outright) below coach Mike Tomlin. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Vikings 24, Steelers 18
Moody's choose: Vikings 24, Steelers 20
Walder's choose: Vikings 27, Steelers 19
FPI prediction: MIN, 57.8 (by a median of three.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Peppers leads defensive surge for Steelers, however there's room for enchancment … Why Vikings needed to play back-to-back in Dublin, London … … Will Vikings' McCarthy begin over Wentz as soon as wholesome?

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Matchup score: 73.9/100
ESPN BET: PHI -3.5 (43.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Eagles: The Eagles are 1-3 in Tampa Bay below coach Nick Sirianni and haven't been their greatest within the Florida warmth. They flew out Friday, a day early, to get acclimated to the climate (it is alleged to be 90 levels with 68% humidity on Sunday). However not everyone seems to be satisfied the strategy can pay dividends. “You do not follow in warmth someday and say you are acclimated or take a tablet and say you are acclimated,” defensive coordinator Vic Fangio stated. “The important thing can be, I imply, it is a mindset, No. 1. No. 2, we have to not allow them to have eight-, 10-, 12-play drives on us.” — Tim McManus

What we're listening to on the Buccaneers: Bucs coach Todd Bowles was requested about being a “hero” to the individuals of Philadelphia as a result of he has come out in help of the tush push. The Elizabeth, New Jersey, native and Temple grad who spent one season as an assistant in Philly joked, “I feel the one place I could be a hero at is Ishkabibble's down on South Avenue, getting the cheesesteak. Apart from that … It is a good play, it is a inventive play for them, and we have got to get higher as defensive coaches making an attempt to be inventive to cease it.” — Jenna Laine

Stat to know: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is 1-4 in his profession in opposition to Buccaneers (together with the playoffs), his most losses versus any staff. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Philadelphia will document a optimistic move charge over expectation (per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats) for the primary time this season. Tampa Bay ranks first in EPA allowed per opponent designed run, so the Eagles are going to must depend on Hurts' dropbacks, maybe much more than they did final week. The excellent news for the Eagles: They will win that approach, too. — Walder

Accidents: Eagles | Buccaneers

Fantasy nugget: Emeka Egbuka takes over because the Buccaneers' No. 1 WR with Mike Evans sidelined for a number of weeks (hamstring). He has racked up 21 targets and 51 fantasy factors via three video games and can be busy in opposition to the Eagles' secondary. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Buccaneers are 15-6 ATS as underdogs (10-11 outright) since buying QB Baker Mayfield in 2023, the perfect document within the NFL in that span. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Eagles 34, Buccaneers 27
Moody's choose: Eagles 24, Buccaneers 23
Walder's choose: Eagles 24, Buccaneers 17
FPI prediction: PHI, 54.6% (by a median of 1.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Contained in the tactic NFL groups are utilizing to fight the tush push … Buccaneers' Evans anticipated to overlook 3-4 weeks, sources say

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Matchup score: 57.5/100
ESPN BET: DET -9.5 (44.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Browns: Cleveland's protection has a declare because the league's greatest, permitting the fewest yards within the NFL per recreation (204.3). Nonetheless, the Lions' offense, which ranks second in scoring and first in EPA per play, can be Cleveland's largest take a look at thus far. The Browns can be on alert for the whole lot, from Detroit's use of movement and trick performs to its fourth-down aggressiveness. “Runs, play-action, screens, they're most likely the chief within the NFL with regards to combining all three of these issues on first and second down,” defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz stated. “We'll have to remove what they do greatest. Each play goes to be a battle.” — Daniel Oyefusi

What we're listening to on the Lions: After their first win at Baltimore as a company, the Lions need to keep away from a lure recreation in opposition to the Browns. Detroit has a league-leading 11 crimson zone touchdowns this season, whereas its protection sacked Ravens QB Lamar Jackson seven occasions. The Lions hope to proceed that output on Sunday. “I can perceive feelings being excessive … however finally each recreation within the NFL takes a specific amount of focus and a specific amount of drive and willingness,” edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson stated. “And it is like if you happen to do not present up, you are going to get your butt kicked, and everyone knows that.” — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has 450 receptions in 69 video games since coming into league in 2021 (most within the NFL over span). For the reason that AFL/NFL merger in 1970, solely two gamers have extra receptions of their first 70 profession video games: Michael Thomas with 510 (2016-20) and Justin Jefferson with 451 (2020-24). — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: The Browns will maintain each Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to below 4.0 yards per carry. Cleveland's protection ranks first in yards allowed per rush (2.3) and run cease win charge (38%). — Walder

Accidents: Browns | Lions

Fantasy nugget: The Browns' defensive entrance is to not be trifled with and presently leads the league in run cease win charge. The Lions had a ton of success working the ball in Week 3 with Gibbs and Montgomery. Nonetheless, Detroit could be clever to lean on QB Jared Goff, St. Brown and the passing recreation in opposition to the Browns. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Lions are 12-4 ATS in September below coach Dan Campbell. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Lions 38, Browns 7
Moody's choose: Lions 30, Browns 16
Walder's choose: Lions 24, Browns 13
FPI prediction: DET, 78.1% (by a median of 12.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How the Browns' protection has turned again the clock to 2023 kind … Speeding assault, move rush assist Lions defeat Ravens on highway … Deion thinks Shedeur will begin for Browns in '25 … GM Holmes needs to construct a dynasty — and a legacy — in Detroit

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Matchup score: 51.6/100
ESPN BET: LAC -6.5 (43.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Chargers: Chargers LB Daiyan Henley stated the protection is taking Sunday's matchup in opposition to rookie QB Jaxson Dart as a “problem.” “That is going to be a man that is making an attempt to show one thing. And so, for us, we've got to additionally show how robust of a protection we're to face,” Henley stated. “So, for us, he'll get our greatest, and I am certain we'll get his.” The Chargers are presently permitting the ninth-lowest passing yards per recreation on protection (182.0). — Kris Rhim

What we're listening to on the Giants: The Giants made the QB change from Russell Wilson to Dart this week, although they're set to face a tricky Chargers protection. However the hope is that the rookie provides some new parts to the offense and eventually will get the staff within the win column. “I feel the most important factor for me is I need to do my greatest to be a spark,” Dart stated. “I need to create pleasure on the sphere. I need to be explosive when alternatives are there. Attempt to simply carry a bit little bit of swagger.” — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: Quarterbacks making their first profession begin in opposition to the Chargers are 3-17 within the Tremendous Bowl period (since 1967), however 2-2 in such video games since 2019. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Chargers CB Donte Jackson will document an interception. Jackson has the bottom yards allowed per protection snap (0.2) amongst all outdoors corners with no less than 75 protection snaps this season, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, and is doing it with out a low goal charge (13%). Dealing with Dart in his debut, the possibilities of a choose are greater. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Giants

Fantasy nugget: Chargers RB Omarion Hampton is ready up for important touches within the backfield with Najee Harris out for the season after struggling an Achilles damage in Week 3. Hampton completed with 25 touches and 24.9 fantasy factors final week and will replicate that manufacturing in opposition to a Giants protection that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Giants are 3-11 ATS of their previous 14 video games as underdogs. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Chargers 30, Giants 17
Moody's choose: Chargers 33, Giants 23
Walder's choose: Chargers 27, Giants 20
FPI prediction: LAC, 76.0% (by a median of 10.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How RB Harris' Achilles damage impacts the Chargers … No turning again now, Giants all-in on Dart as QB starter

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Matchup score: 50.7/100
ESPN BET: BUF -15.5 (47.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Saints: Saints coach Kellen Moore expressed his confidence in beginning QB Spencer Rattler following the loss to the Seahawks. Moore indicated the Saints would not be following the Giants' lead and switching quarterbacks anytime quickly, and stated Rattler realizes how a lot confidence the staff has in him. He thinks Rattler — who's 0-9 as a starter courting again to final season — is headed in the fitting path. “It is irritating as a result of Spencer hasn't been capable of get a win on this league, and he is earned it and he deserves it. He is performed a lot good,” Moore stated. — Katherine Terrell

What we're listening to on the Payments: Regardless of sitting on the most important level unfold of the season, per ESPN BET, the emphasis from the Payments is that they're treating Sunday's recreation like another. QB Josh Allen stated he expects the Saints “to have their ears pinned again. They need to win as badly as anyone within the league proper now. And once more, there is not any straightforward video games on this league.” The Payments have a 13-game dwelling profitable streak within the common season however might be with out three starters (DT Ed Oliver, LB Matt Milano and RT Spencer Brown) as a result of accidents. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: The Payments have gone eight straight video games with out a turnover (together with the playoffs), which is tied with the 2024 Chiefs for the longest streak with zero turnovers since 1933. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Saints LB Demario Davis will lead the NFL in mixed tackles in Week 4. The Payments will get out to a lead so massive that they are going to run the ball a ton. And Davis ranks second amongst linebackers in sort out charge versus run performs, incomes a sort out or help on 29% of opponent's runs. — Walder

Accidents: Saints | Payments

Fantasy nugget: The Payments are heavy dwelling favorites in opposition to the Saints, which bodes properly for RB James Prepare dinner. He has had 18-plus touches and 20-plus fantasy factors in three straight video games. Buffalo's offensive line, the league chief in run block win charge (76.6%), ought to dominate a Saints entrance that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. In deeper codecs, do not overlook fellow RB Ty Johnson as a possible sleeper. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Rattler is 1-8 ATS in his profession as a starter. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Payments 35, Saints 14
Moody's choose: Payments 34, Saints 16
Walder's choose: Payments 33, Saints 7
FPI prediction: BUF, 80.5% (by a median of 13.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Davis and Jordan's management is pivotal for 0-3 Saints … Lingering Payments questions amid historic run on turnover margin … Winless Saints lament Week 3 loss: ‘A really highly effective lesson for our guys on adversity'

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Matchup score: 49.6/100
ESPN BET: WSH -1.5 (44.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Commanders: With a banged-up offense lacking a number of starters — maybe as many as 5 on Sunday — Washington's protection must take the lead. And meaning stopping Falcons RB Bijan Robinson in any respect prices. Washington ranks twelfth in dashing yards allowed per recreation (100.7) and eighth in yards per carry (3.7) after investing in greater linemen and extra depth up entrance. However stopping Robinson will show difficult. “I see no weaknesses for the man,” defensive coordinator Joe Whitt Jr. stated. “He can do all of it — run inside, outdoors, can catch. He does all of it very, very properly.” — John Keim

What we're listening to on the Falcons: Is that this a must-win recreation for the Falcons? Possibly not because it's solely Week 4, however it's a must-look-competent recreation for them. Particularly, their offense must step up after final week's 30-0 drubbing by the hands of the Panthers. Coach Raheem Morris shouldn't be too fearful about Atlanta exhibiting up this week. He stated that as a result of “human nature,” there's extra urgency after any loss and “significantly a loss like that.” — Marc Raimondi

Stat to know: Commanders QB Marcus Mariota made 13 begins for the Falcons in 2022, going 5-8 with 15 passing touchdowns and 9 interceptions. He was changed by then-rookie Desmond Ridder for the ultimate 4 video games of the season. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Falcons QB Michael Penix Jr. will common below 6.0 air yards per try. After final week's disastrous efficiency, watch to see if the Falcons — and Penix — err on the facet of warning as they attempt to get again on monitor. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Falcons

Fantasy nugget: This might be the week WR Drake London breaks out. The Commanders' defensive entrance ranks third in run cease win charge (35.4%) and has performed a fantastic job limiting fantasy factors to working backs. However Washington has allowed massive performs via the air. The Falcons fired WR coach Ike Hilliard after offensive struggles, and Penix hasn't thrown a landing to a large receiver or tight finish but this season. However Week 4 might be London's second. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Commanders have coated all 4 conferences with the Falcons since 2021. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Falcons 29, Commanders 27
Moody's choose: Commanders 23, Falcons 17
Walder's choose: Commanders 20, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: WSH, 58.6% (by a median of three.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Commanders' Daniels (knee) practices, says standing as much as docs … Dazed Falcons look to place 30-0 loss to Panthers behind them … Supply: Commanders' McLaurin seeks extra enter on quad damage

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Matchup score: 30.2/100
ESPN BET: NE -5.5 (42.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Panthers: Panthers TE Tommy Tremble referred to the peak rookie WR Tetairoa McMillan reached for a 4-yard catch from QB Bryce Younger in opposition to Atlanta as “Mario leaping,” to which McMillan insisted this is not Mario ball. Sunday's recreation will not be both. It will be gained within the trenches, the place it's going to be energy in opposition to energy, as Carolina will need to a run in opposition to a New England protection that is permitting solely 60.3 dashing yards per recreation. — David Newton

What we're listening to on the Patriots: Patriots coach Mike Vrabel stated he spent two hours Tuesday evening finding out the Panthers' kickoff protection, which incorporates knuckleball kicks from Ryan Fitzgerald. They've proved difficult for opposing returners to deal with. “It is spectacular. He kicks a very good kick, [a] soiled kick. He is had the returners generally confused,” stated Vrabel, who believes Patriots returners TreVeyon Henderson and Antonio Gibson have the ability set to resolve video games. However the New England kick return unit was outplayed in its Week 3 loss. — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: Younger is 1-14 in his first 15 profession highway begins, tied with Steve DeBerg, Dan Pastorini and Blake Bortles for the second-worst document by a QB via his first 15 highway begins since begins had been first tracked in 1950. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Patriots QB Drake Maye will throw for 300 or extra yards for the primary time in his profession. No staff has a bigger distinction between its EPA per dropback and EPA per designed carry in favor of the passing recreation than New England. So why not let Maye air it out all day? — Walder

Accidents: Panthers | Patriots

Fantasy nugget: TE Hunter Henry has emerged as Maye's high goal in New England, coming off a 29-point fantasy efficiency in Week 3. He has seen eight-plus targets in two of three video games, and now faces a Panthers protection permitting the eighth-most fantasy factors to tight ends. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: That is the most important the Patriots have been a favourite since Week 7 of 2022, once they had been favored by 8.5 versus the Bears. They misplaced that recreation 33-14. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Panthers 20, Patriots 15
Moody's choose: Patriots 24, Panthers 20
Walder's choose: Patriots 30, Panthers 17
FPI prediction: NE, 56.1% (by a median of two.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Kuechly sees potential in Panthers' defensive youth … Patriots' Vrabel on Stevenson's expensive fumbles, benching: Nonetheless ‘want him' … Panthers' protection comes alive in 30-0 shutout of Falcons

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Matchup score: 22.6/100
ESPN BET: HOU -7.5 (38.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Titans: The Texans' protection is permitting 17.0 factors per recreation, tied for the fifth-best common within the league. Houston's move rush has additionally generated 9 sacks (tied for fourth greatest within the NFL), which presents a tricky problem for a Titans offense that has scored solely 17.0 factors per recreation and has allowed a league-worst 15 sacks. The Titans hope new playcaller Bo Hardegree can have an effect much like when he took over because the interim offensive coordinator for the Raiders in 2023 and helped enhance Las Vegas' common factors per recreation by seven. — Turron Davenport

What we're listening to on the Texans: Count on some further juice between Texans WR Nico Collins and Titans CB L'Jarius Sneed. Sneed, when requested about Collins earlier this week, stated “who?” in a dismissive approach. When Collins was requested about Sneed's feedback, he stated “he is aware of who I'm.” Because the Texans attempt to get their last-ranked scoring offense going, count on Collins to do the whole lot in his energy to get the unit some juice. — DJ Bien-Aime

Stat to know: The Texans have but to attain 20 factors in a recreation this season. The final time Houston scored lower than 20 factors in every of the primary 4 video games of a season was in 2002, the staff's debut season. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Titans WR Calvin Ridley will document an 80-plus-yard receiving recreation. Ridley has the third-worst receiving yards over expectation (minus-82) within the NFL this season, behind solely Jaguars WR Brian Thomas Jr. and Panthers WR Xavier Legette. Which, granted, is not a tremendous signal. However it's a signal that the ball is coming his approach, and I count on that to proceed. Certainly one of lately he'll have a giant recreation. — Walder

Accidents: Titans | Texans

Fantasy nugget: The Texans' offensive line has struggled mightily this season and presently ranks twenty first in run block win charge (70.3%). The Titans' defensive entrance has allowed the third-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. RB Nick Chubb is on the flex radar, and for these in want of a sleeper, do not overlook RB Woody Marks. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Titans coach Brian Callahan is 3-17 ATS, the worst mark of any coach within the Tremendous Bowl period. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Texans 17, Titans 10
Moody's choose: Texans 23, Titans 17
Walder's choose: Texans 27, Titans 17
FPI prediction: HOU, 69.3% (by a median of seven.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Why Titans coach Callahan gave up playcalling duties … Texans say being ‘shut' in one-score video games not ok … Callahan says Brownlee commerce does not sign Titans hearth sale … Texans launch Gardner-Johnson after simply three video games

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Matchup score: 66.6/100
ESPN BET: LAR -3.5 (50.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Colts: The Colts have loved nice dashing success to this point, with star RB Jonathan Taylor main the NFL with 338 yards. However the Rams provide a stiff take a look at, having allowed only one dashing landing and three.9 yards per rush. Whether or not Taylor and the Colts can obtain some dashing consistency will have an effect on how profitable their surprisingly environment friendly passing recreation can stay. The Colts have achieved nice offensive stability, however whether or not Taylor can discover working lanes in opposition to a tricky defensive entrance stays to be seen. — Stephen Holder

What we're listening to on the Rams: The Rams have 12 sacks this season, which is tied with the Broncos for essentially the most within the NFL. Colts QB Daniel Jones has been sacked solely twice, which is the fewest amongst certified quarterbacks, in response to ESPN Analysis. Rams coach Sean McVay famous the effectivity the Colts have performed with this season, saying, “They are not enjoying behind the sticks.” “He is clearly obtained the mobility to have the ability to make you pay as a runner, however I feel he is studying properly together with his toes,” McVay stated of Jones. “He throws the ball with nice accuracy and anticipation.” — Sarah Barshop

Stat to know: Rams QB Matthew Stafford co-leads the NFL in completions (29), passing touchdowns (4 with zero interceptions) and first downs (17) on play-action this season. In the meantime, Indianapolis' protection has 10 interceptions on play-action throws below coach Shane Steichen (since 2023) — tied for second most over that span. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Taylor will run the ball greater than 20 occasions in a loss by no less than seven factors. That will be essentially the most by any participant in such a loss this season. However count on the Colts to be run-heavy it doesn't matter what on Sunday: They already lean that approach, and the Rams' protection ranks sixth in EPA allowed per opponent dropback however twenty second in opposition to the run. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Rams

Fantasy nugget: Rams RB Kyren Williams is coming off a Week 3 recreation through which he set season highs in touches (22), whole yards (112) and fantasy factors (19.2). He faces a Colts defensive entrance ranked twenty seventh in run cease win charge (26.8%). With the Rams' offensive line — eleventh in run block win charge (72.9%) — holding the benefit, McVay and Williams ought to be capable to capitalize. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Colts are 3-0 ATS this season with the very best common cowl margin within the NFL (13.8). Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Rams 31, Colts 27
Moody's choose: Colts 28, Rams 24
Walder's choose: Rams 24, Colts 16
FPI prediction: LAR, 55.5% (by a median of two.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Colts signal CB Hilton after Moore injured … Rams have to come back again stronger after first lack of season

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Matchup score: 58.7/100
ESPN BET: SF -3.5 (47.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Jaguars: Drops have been the subject of the week. That is comprehensible, because the Jaguars lead the league with 10 and are coming off every week through which they dropped six — together with three by WR Brian Thomas Jr. Coach Liam Coen's message to the move catchers: “Assault the ball.” He needs them to catch the ball out in entrance of their our bodies and never let it cross their eyes. Drops are one of many primary causes the passing offense hasn't gotten into rhythm but. — Michael DiRocco

What we're listening to on the 49ers: The 49ers have spent the week making an attempt to determine learn how to cowl for the lack of star DE Nick Bosa, who's out for the season with a torn ACL. “Dropping Nick is a giant deal,” LB Fred Warner stated. “That is top-of-the-line gamers, not simply on our staff however on the planet. We have got to search out methods to proceed to create these pressures.” One chance? An elevated blitz charge. Within the 97 video games the Niners have performed with Bosa, they've blitzed simply 20% of the time. Within the 18 video games they've performed with out him, that quantity has spiked to 31.9%. That might assist in opposition to Jacksonville and QB Trevor Lawrence, who has thrown 13 interceptions when blitzed since 2021, tied for third most amongst certified quarterbacks in that span. — Nick Wagoner

Stat to know: Niners RB Christian McCaffrey has had 50 dashing yards and 50 receiving yards in every recreation this season. He's searching for to grow to be the second participant in NFL historical past to start out a season with 4 such consecutive video games. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: The 49ers is not going to sack Lawrence. The 49ers' move rush takes a giant hit with out Bosa, and Lawrence has been sacked on solely 2.5% of dropbacks this season — the second-lowest charge amongst quarterbacks. — Walder

Accidents: Jaguars | 49ers

Fantasy nugget: The 49ers' offense has been hit arduous by accidents to QB Brock Purdy (toe), TE George Kittle (hamstring) and WR Jauan Jennings (shoulder, ankle) — and WR Ricky Pearsall has taken benefit. He has scored 14-plus fantasy factors in two of three video games, together with a season-high 19.7 in Week 3. Subsequent up is a Jaguars protection permitting the third-most receptions and sixth-most fantasy factors per recreation to WRs. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Jaguars have misplaced seven straight video games following a win (2-5 ATS). Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: 49ers 20, Jaguars 10
Moody's choose: 49ers 28, Jaguars 21
Walder's choose: 49ers 23, Jaguars 17
FPI prediction: SF, 51.4% (by a median of 0.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jaguars QB Lawrence exhibiting progress regardless of drops, impatient throws … Dropping Bosa is ‘a giant deal': This is how the 49ers will look to switch him … Jaguars protection has discovered success forcing turnovers … 5 issues we have realized about 49ers QB Jones in 2025

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Matchup score: 86.8/100
ESPN BET: BAL -2.5 (48.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Ravens: The Ravens' protection, which ranks final within the NFL for the primary time since 2021, now faces its most difficult quarterback. The Ravens are 1-5 versus Patrick Mahomes (together with the playoffs), who has thrown 14 touchdowns and three interceptions in opposition to the Baltimore protection. “I feel one factor we touched on was simply staying in your toes when he pump-fakes,” OLB Odafe Oweh stated. “After which if you get there, attempt to hit him legally, as legally as you possibly can in at this time's NFL. We've got to respect his playmaking means.” — Jamison Hensley

What we're listening to on the Chiefs: Following their first victory, the Chiefs need to have a whole efficiency on offense in opposition to the Ravens, hoping to construct off the robust second half that they had in opposition to the Giants. The anticipated return of speedy WR Xavier Worthy ought to assist, too. “It should make us even higher as a result of guys needed to step up and so they have,” Mahomes stated. “You have seen Hollywood [Brown], you've got seen JuJu [Smith-Schuster] and you have seen Tyquan [Thornton] all step up into their roles. We'll proceed to get higher and higher because the season goes, however it'll be an vital week this week.” — Nate Taylor

Stat to know: The Ravens have scored 111 factors this season, which is essentially the most by a staff with a shedding document via three video games in NFL historical past. Essentially the most factors by a staff with a shedding document via 4 video games is 140 by the 2022 Lions, who completed the season 8-9 and missed playoffs. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: The Ravens will win by double digits. Detroit was capable of run the ball extremely successfully in opposition to the Ravens final week, and that gave it an edge. The Chiefs don't have any such risk, and with out it, I feel we'll see Baltimore because the clearly superior staff over Kansas Metropolis. — Walder

Accidents: Ravens | Chiefs

Fantasy nugget: Chiefs TE Travis Kelce hasn't been the fantasy cheat code we're used to in current seasons. However with Kansas Metropolis's offense struggling, it will need him closely concerned. Baltimore has allowed the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to tight ends. Kelce has averaged 7.1 targets, six catches and 78.2 yards per recreation in opposition to Baltimore in his profession. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is 31-15-2 ATS on the highway. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Ravens 21, Chiefs 20
Moody's choose: Ravens 31, Chiefs 26
Walder's choose: Ravens 31, Chiefs 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 50.3% (by a median of 0.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Ravens' Humphrey: Struggling protection cannot put unfair expectations on Jackson … Thornton discovering chemistry with Mahomes … Chiefs' Reid brushes off Kelce dustup on sideline

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Matchup score: 38.7/100
ESPN BET: CHI -1.5 (47.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Bears: Coach Ben Johnson tried to acknowledge QB Caleb Williams for being named NFC Offensive Participant of the Week, however the quarterback wasn't having it. Williams had rapidly turned his focus from the Bears' first win of the season to the Raiders and the issues he can carry over from his second-ever recreation with 4 touchdowns. “He is aware of he must have a good higher efficiency right here this week to present us the perfect probability to win,” Johnson stated. Chicago's offensive output is considerably much less on the highway (15.9 PPG, 1-8 with Williams at QB), however the way in which Williams is enjoying (18 TDs, 2 INTs over his previous 14 begins) has him vying for the second highway victory of his profession. — Courtney Cronin

What we're listening to on the Raiders: Might rookie RB Ashton Jeanty's breakout recreation come in opposition to the Bears? The chance is there: Chicago enters Sunday's matchup permitting 5.5 dashing yards per carry (thirty first within the league). Jeanty, then again, has averaged 3.1 yards per carry via three video games. Despite the fact that he has flashed the ability set that made him worthy of being a top-10 choose, he hasn't impacted the run recreation as anticipated. “I feel he is proper the place he must be,” QB Geno Smith stated. “We've got to assist him … as a result of when he will get an open discipline, man, he is arduous to cease. So, we have simply obtained to get him into some extra space and permit him to do his factor.” — Ryan McFadden

Stat to know: Final week was the primary recreation of Williams' profession the place he was not sacked. Chicago is now searching for have consecutive video games with out permitting a sack for the primary time since November 2005. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Raiders TE Brock Bowers will bounce again with a 90-plus-yard receiving recreation. Of all targets in opposition to the Bears, 27% have gone to tight ends, the very best charge within the league. — Walder

Accidents: Bears | Raiders

Fantasy nugget: Raiders WR Jakobi Meyers is coming off a quiet Week 3, however do not overreact. He noticed 10-plus targets and scored 12-plus fantasy factors in every of the primary two video games this season. The Bears have allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors per recreation to huge receivers and are significantly weak to fit manufacturing, the place Meyers runs most of his routes. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Bears are 12-23 ATS on the highway since 2021. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Bears 34, Raiders 24
Moody's choose: Bears 21, Raiders 20
Walder's choose: Bears 34, Raiders 31
FPI prediction: CHI, 50.9% (by a median of 0.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: No sacks? New look of success for Williams, Bears … Will Raiders' Carroll contemplate adjustments after one other tough loss?

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Matchup score: 64.3/100
ESPN BET: GB -6.5 (47.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Packers: The Packers have had all types of damage points on the offensive line. They completed final week's loss with out RT Zach Tom (indirect) and LG Aaron Banks (groin), and the Browns pressured QB Jordan Love at a 42% charge — the very best of his profession — and made it inconceivable for RB Josh Jacobs to run (16 carries, 30 yards). Inexperienced Bay might be with out each linemen once more on Sunday. However Elgton Jenkins, the Professional Bowl guard who moved to heart this offseason, believes he might have helped had he performed higher. “I really feel like I've performed like s—, truthfully,” Jenkins stated. “Like, I can play quite a bit higher. Quite a lot of issues, quite a lot of small element issues that I can repair, total. However I simply really feel like I've performed like s— and positively obtained to play higher shifting ahead.” — Rob Demovsky

What we're listening to on the Cowboys: Possibly you've got heard that edge Micah Parsons is returning to AT&T Stadium with the Packers this week. However contained in the Cowboys' locker room, it is not a subject the gamers talk about until requested about it by the media. “We love Micah,” DT Solomon Thomas stated. “He was a brother right here of ours. And we want him the perfect, and so glad for him that he obtained record-breaking cash, and he deserves all that cash. However as a staff, we're not even occupied with that. We're occupied with Inexperienced Bay, getting higher from Chicago, fixing these errors. And on Sunday, it is one other championship alternative to be our greatest. That each one we're centered on.” — Todd Archer

Stat to know: Parsons makes his return to Dallas as a league coleader with 14 QB pressures this season (tied with the Payments' Joey Bosa and the Broncos' Nik Bonitto), and because the sole chief in move rush wins with 17. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Packers WRs Romeo Doubs and Matthew Golden will each document no less than 65 receiving yards. Amongst outdoors cornerbacks with no less than 75 protection snaps, Cowboys CBs Kaiir Elam (2.3) and Trevon Diggs (1.7) rank second- and fourth-worst in yards allowed per protection snap, respectively, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder

Accidents: Packers | Cowboys

Fantasy nugget: Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson has seen 12-plus targets and scored 16-plus fantasy factors in back-to-back video games. With WR CeeDee Lamb sidelined by an ankle damage, Ferguson ought to stay a focus of the Cowboys' offense. The Packers' protection is hard, however it has allowed the sixth-most fantasy factors per recreation to tight ends this season. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Packers are 61-42 ATS below coach Matt LaFleur, however solely 11-16 ATS as highway favorites, together with a loss final week as 7.5-point highway favorites in opposition to the Browns. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Packers 34, Cowboys 17
Moody's choose: Packers 31, Cowboys 24
Walder's choose: Packers 27, Cowboys 24
FPI prediction: GB, 60.0% (by a median of three.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Parsons' interest? Beating Packers teammates at H-O-R-S-E, pingpong and bowling … What'll it's like for Parsons at Cowboys? … Parsons not upset Cowboys will not acknowledge his return … Why Cowboys' Jones likes speaking contracts with gamers

Monday, 7:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Matchup score: 22.0/100
ESPN BET: MIA, -2.5 (45.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Jets: It appears doubtless QB Justin Fields (concussion) will return to the lineup quickly. If he does return for Week 4, Fields will want the help of a robust dashing assault — one thing the Jets have not had since Week 1. RB Breece Corridor has struggled previously two video games (2.6 yards per carry), so do not be shocked if Braelon Allen (5.1) sees an elevated function. Coach Aaron Glenn famous that reestablishing the bottom recreation is crucial. — Wealthy Cimini

What we're listening to on the Dolphins: Dolphins TE Darren Waller (hip) has practiced all week and is anticipated to make his season debut Monday. His coaches and staff have famous the scale (6-foot-6, 238 kilos) and physicality he brings to an offense that would use each. “That dude walks round, he seems to be like a tower over guys,” WR Malik Washington stated. “So together with his means to catch the ball, his means to run routes and his means to dam and be on his task, we have seen it in follow and stuff. I feel including him to the ingredient, that simply provides one other playmaker to our staff.” — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Stat to know: Each the Dolphins and Jets are 0-3 and have zero takeaways this season. It is the primary season since turnovers turned official in 1933 that a number of groups are 0-3 with no takeaways. — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill will document seven or extra receptions, a season excessive. No staff has confronted extra zone protection this season than Miami (74% of the time), however the Jets are a man-heavy staff that runs zone solely 45% of the time. Over the previous few seasons, Hill has had the next goal charge when dealing with man protection. — Walder

Accidents: Jets | Dolphins

Fantasy nugget: Corridor has had 12-plus touches in each recreation this season, together with a season-high 21 in Week 1. The Jets' offensive line ranks 14th in run block win charge (72.3%), whereas Miami's defensive entrance sits twenty ninth in run cease win charge (25.8%). The Dolphins have allowed the fifth-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. Payments RB James Prepare dinner completed with 22 touches and 20.8 factors in Week 3. Corridor might replicate that efficiency in Week 4. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Jets are 22-33 ATS in prime-time video games since 2005, together with 5-13 ATS since 2019. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Dolphins 30, Jets 14
Moody's choose: Dolphins 30, Jets 26
Walder's choose: Jets 20, Dolphins 17
FPI prediction: MIA, 54.9% (by a median of two.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jets' Fields returns to follow, will begin if cleared … McDaniel: Dolphins higher regardless of rising pains … Jets hoping for higher manufacturing from struggling protection … Contained in the Dolphins' try to repair their locker room

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ABC | Matchup score: 56.1/100
ESPN BET: DEN, -7.5 (44.5 O/U)

What we're listening to on the Bengals: This isn't the week to be dealing with a robust Denver entrance, because the Bengals are as soon as once more looking for an answer at proper guard. Cincinnati rookie Jalen Rivers completed final week's recreation at that spot instead of Dalton Risner, who is probably going on the surface of that beginning spot. That makes Rivers the fourth participant giving it a shot (Lucas Patrick is presently on injured reserve with a calf damage). That is one thing to be careful for, because the Broncos' Nik Bonitto is fourth within the league in move rush win charge (29.8%) as an edge rusher. — Ben Child

What we're listening to on the Broncos: The Broncos actually have emotional Band-Aids from back-to-back losses. On every recreation's final play over the previous two weeks, the protection could not get the slam-the-door stops it wanted. However in actuality, the offense ought to bear essentially the most scrutiny. The staff is twenty seventh in third-down conversions, nineteenth in offensive EPA and QB Bo Nix is twenty fifth in QBR. And final week, the Broncos had seven — you learn that proper — possessions go for 10 or fewer yards. 4 of these went for 1 yard, no achieve or detrimental yardage. Toss within the reality the Broncos are the fourth-most penalized staff within the league, and you've got the recipe for a staff that has but to search out the quick begin coach Sean Payton tried to assemble. — Jeff Legwold

Stat to know: Coming into Week 4, the Broncos lead the league in move block win charge (75%). The Bengals rank final in that class (45%). — ESPN Analysis

Daring prediction: Bengals RB Chase Brown will rush for no less than 75 yards and a landing. Brown is overdue for a giant manufacturing recreation (he had 3 dashing yards final week), and I feel the Bengals' offense with QB Jake Browning will look higher in weeks when it is not dealing with the Vikings' protection. — Walder

Accidents: Bengals | Broncos

Fantasy nugget: Nix has had a gradual begin to the season, scoring 20 fantasy factors in only one recreation. The intense spot? His reference to WR Courtland Sutton, who has scored 18-plus fantasy factors in two of three video games. This duo now will get a Bengals secondary permitting the eighth-most passing yards per recreation (240.7). See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Nix is 8-2 ATS as a favourite. Learn extra. — ESPN Analysis

Maldonado's choose: Broncos 20, Bengals 19
Moody's choose: Broncos 33, Bengals 17
Walder's choose: Bengals 23, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: DEN, 72.3% (by a median of 8.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: With out Burrow, Bengals cannot afford Brown's woes … Three traits to clarify the Broncos' 1-2 begin in 2025