ASHBURN, Va. — With seven minutes and 39 seconds left and down 38-7 to the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday night time, the Washington Commanders' ugly season obtained an entire lot worse: Quarterback Jayden Daniels was mendacity on the bottom, in ache, after struggling a dislocated elbow when he was sacked.
As Daniels, the franchise's current and future hope for achievement and the participant who led Washington to its first NFC Championship Sport look for the reason that 1991 season, slowly left the sphere together with his injured arm in a forged, the inevitable questions started: Why? What now? What extra can go fallacious?
“Intestine-wrenching,” Washington guard Sam Cosmi stated.
“Distraught,” tight finish Zach Ertz stated.
The Commanders (3-6) have been devastated by accidents and participant absences since coaching camp opened. In reality, Daniels and all the beginning offense has not been collectively for the reason that NFC divisional playoff win towards the Detroit Lions in January.
However Daniels and the Commanders now have the aforementioned inquiries to reply, plus just a few extra that challenge into the long run: What does his restoration appear to be? What can they do to assist him sooner or later? Why was he nonetheless within the recreation? How does the harm have an effect on Washington's offseason plans?
ESPN Commanders reporter John Keim, senior author and harm analyst Stephania Bell, senior NFL insider Dan Graziano, analytics author Seth Walder and draft analyst Jordan Reid reply all of the urgent questions surrounding Daniels' harm.
What's a dislocated elbow? What is the normal timetable for restoration, and are there particular concerns for QBs?
Within the elbow, there are three bones that make up the joint: the arm bone (humerus) and the 2 forearm bones (radius, on the lateral or outer facet; and the ulna, on the medial or internal facet). As with every joint, the bony surfaces are lined with cartilage and all the joint is roofed by a fibrous capsule, which is bolstered by stabilizing ligaments.
A dislocation describes a joint that has exceeded its regular vary of movement such that the bones are now not of their regular place, usually creating the bodily deformity that's so jarring to the attention. Additionally it is extraordinarily painful as a number of buildings will be stretched or torn because the bones sit out of alignment. The course of therapy and the restoration timeline are depending on the extent of trauma created through the dislocation occasion.
If the dislocation pushes a bone via the pores and skin (termed an “open dislocation”), the open wound should be addressed as rapidly as doable to attempt to mitigate any threat of an infection. Assuming no open wound, the questions are whether or not or not there's a fracture current, whether or not the joint will be satisfactorily decreased (returned to its regular place) and what's the extent of soppy tissue harm (most notably ligaments and capsule). If there's an open wound, if the joint can't be decreased (as a result of one thing is obstructing it post-dislocation) or if a significant ligament restore is required, surgical procedure turns into obligatory.
If there isn't any wound, no fracture, the joint is decreased and steady, and no main ligament restore is required, the therapy early on is to assist the arm in a sling or brace to permit the elbow irritation to subside and the comfortable tissues to heal. Vary of movement of the wrist and hand and the shoulder can start pretty rapidly afterward and because the elbow heals, that joint will be particularly addressed as effectively. As is the case with most programs of bodily remedy, the objective is progressive vary of movement and strengthening till the arm is restored to its pre-injury stage of perform.
Conservative (nonsurgical) therapy usually requires roughly six to eight weeks of restoration, a timeline that's extremely individualized relying on the athlete and his historical past together with the calls for of the game and the seasonal calendar. In surgical circumstances, the development relies on the specifics of the surgical procedure and the timeline can be adjusted outward accordingly.
For a quarterback, this harm can be much more regarding if it had been the throwing elbow. A couple of levels of lack of vary of movement if the elbow had been to heal a bit stiff might dramatically alter throwing mechanics. Any residual gentle instability associated to ligament trauma might additionally alter throwing mechanics and efficiency. Any related cartilage harm might end in arthritic modifications within the joint that, even when gradual progressing, might alter the trajectory of a thrower's profession. Given the above, an harm that may be permitted to heal by itself with relaxation, immobilization and progressive bodily remedy on a non-throwing arm may be managed otherwise (i.e., surgical procedure to restore a torn ligament) in a throwing arm. — Bell
Because it's his non-throwing arm, might Daniels return ahead of anticipated?
Right here is the place it will get difficult and all the elements that make an athlete's case distinctive to him come into play. Typically talking, sure, within the case of the non-throwing arm an athlete might probably return earlier than full therapeutic whereas sporting a protecting brace. For an harm to the throwing arm, that's clearly not an choice. However past the flexibility to probably return sooner with an harm to a non-throwing arm, questions stay as as to if the athlete can nonetheless successfully play the place in addition to what the bigger targets are for the athlete and the group, each throughout the present season and past.
Within the case of Daniels, take into account that he has already missed two video games resulting from a left knee sprain and one other recreation resulting from a proper hamstring pressure. Although he recovered to the purpose of returning to play from every decrease extremity harm, it's a dialogue level when analyzing the cumulative toll of the season. Then there's the seasonal calendar. The ultimate week of the common season is the primary week in January and, as of now, the Commanders don't look like destined for postseason competitors. On the level the place Daniels is approaching a return to play healthwise, the place does the group stand relative to the seasonal calendar? And lastly, there isn't any arguing that Daniels, as a quarterback, performs some of the vital positions on the group, all whereas being the face of the franchise. As such, his worth at full well being is extraordinarily excessive.
Return to play selections, notably in-season (and even coming into a brand new season when coming off season-ending surgical procedure) are all the time risk-versus-reward calculations. Whereas nothing is assured, it's as much as all of the decision-makers, together with the athlete, to reach at one of the best resolution for an optimum technique that takes the long run under consideration. — Bell
How will the Commanders modify to being with out Daniels?
Marcus Mariota will substitute Daniels, as he has already for 3 video games this season. Mariota, the second total decide in 2015, has began three video games and changed Daniels in two others. In these video games, Mariota has accomplished 56 of 88 passes for 639 yards with 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.
He is extra comfy working the no-huddle at a faster tempo and has excelled at instances within the run-pass choice recreation. Washington additionally calls extra designed runs for Mariota, whereas Daniels has been thought-about extra harmful as a scrambler.
The Commanders are 1-2 in Mariota's begins and misplaced each instances he needed to substitute Daniels.
However it's arduous for Washington to regulate given their lack of offensive weapons. Of the highest 4 receivers coming into the season, just one — Deebo Samuel — will probably be obtainable when Washington hosts Detroit Sunday, and the Commanders might have three receivers lively who both opened the 12 months on the apply squad or had been added in-season.
Additionally they cannot run the ball. Washington's working backs rank thirtieth up to now 4 weeks, averaging 66.8 yards per recreation, and rank twenty fifth in yards per carry at 3.7.
Mariota had much more success taking up for Daniels in 2024. He subbed for an injured Daniels twice and led Washington to wins every time. In these video games he accomplished 33 of 41 passes for 366 yards, with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. However he was working with a a lot more healthy offense.
That is not the case this time. Till they get Terry McLaurin again from his quad harm and even Noah Brown, who can be on injured reserve till at the least subsequent week, then the offense simply lacks pop. And the protection has regressed — up to now 5 weeks Washington ranks thirty first in yards per recreation and yards per play.
Punter Tress Means stated final season the Commanders discovered that with Daniels they had been by no means out of a recreation. However this season, it is a bleak outlook irrespective of who's at quarterback. — Keim
Why was Daniels nonetheless within the recreation?
It was a query requested a number of instances after the sport to educate Dan Quinn. He didn't say why Daniels was nonetheless within the recreation, however Quinn did say he wasn't “at that house” to take him out. Quinn stated they had been “extra conservative in that spot to run and hand off.”
The drive started with 12 minutes, 30 seconds left within the recreation. Washington ran 9 performs earlier than Daniels was injured, with 4 runs and 5 passes — he was at risk of being hit one time and scrambled to his left to keep away from stress.
The hypothesis stems from a quarterback who has misplaced snaps this season after lacking three video games with accidents. It may very well be that Quinn and offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury wished Daniels to get extra work; Seattle additionally didn't have a lot of its starters nonetheless within the recreation. Following that pondering, they probably wished the offense to complete on a stronger be aware in an try and construct momentum for future video games.
In Daniels' first recreation as a rookie, Washington completed with a late landing drive in a 37-20 loss. Reasonably than take him out, the Commanders put him again out with 3:29 to play. They scored a landing and, in ensuing weeks, the offense soared. Within the 2024 regular-season finale, Quinn pulled Daniels at halftime of a recreation vs. Dallas. Daniels was not efficient within the first half and Quinn stated he had “gentle leg soreness.” Additionally they had clinched a playoff berth by that time and he was pressured on 37.5% of his dropbacks (fourth a lot of the season) and sacked 4 instances within the first half. Washington received the sport on a last-second Mariota landing cross and Daniels flourished within the postseason.
Those that wished Daniels pulled Sunday night time can level to this: He was pressured by Seattle on a career-high 51% of his dropbacks — and 61% within the second half — based on ESPN Analysis. On the fateful play, after Daniels opted to not hand the ball to working again Chris Rodriguez Jr., a defensive finish was instantly in his face, prompting him to attempt to run to the fitting. He had two receivers to that facet, however by the point they broke, Daniels was in scramble mode. He did not outrun linebacker Drake Thomas. It led to the harm and a query that can be requested for a lot of months. — Keim
How regarding is his current harm historical past, and can the harm have an effect on how Washington views Daniels long run?
It is regarding as a result of he has now left two video games this season resulting from harm and suffered one other one in a 3rd that sidelined him two video games. Final season he broke a rib, however he didn't miss any video games; he additionally left the regular-season finale however that was with “gentle leg soreness” which didn't influence him within the playoffs.
However this 12 months has been regarding as a result of two of the accidents occurred when scrambling (one was within the pocket vs. a free blitzer). His potential to make performs together with his arm or legs turned him into the second total decide in 2024. As a rookie, he rushed for 891 yards and 6 touchdowns and led the NFL with 70 scrambles for 570 yards.
Quinn did say earlier this season that “the one factor worse than lacking video games is just not taking the teachings from there. And as a scramble goes, when do I get down? When do I get out of bounds? And so, Jayden's nonetheless rising too. Like we really feel like he is been enjoying for some time and so he is, as he is into his second 12 months there's nonetheless issues that he is rising on too.”
However as a result of they know Daniels additionally makes massive performs together with his legs — Quinn referred to as him a recreation changer earlier than the draft — it should not alter how they view him. — Keim
Does this have an effect on how Washington builds its group going ahead?
It ought to influence how the Commanders construct round him. Washington has invested in its offensive line — buying and selling a internet of three draft picks for left sort out Laremy Tunsil, drafting proper sort out Josh Conerly within the first spherical, signing proper guard Sam Cosmi to an extension earlier than the 2024 season, and signing middle Tyler Biadasz in free company. Additionally they drafted Brandon Coleman within the third spherical in 2024, however he was benched in favor of Chris Paul after Week 2.
However they want extra playmakers round him. As soon as McLaurin was damage (quad), Washington misplaced any probability for a constant deep passing assault. The Commanders drafted Luke McCaffrey within the third spherical in 2024 and Jaylin Lane within the fourth spherical in April and traded for Samuel. Nonetheless, with out McLaurin, Washington has confronted a gradual food plan of man protection as a result of opposing defenses do not worry the wideouts and have targeted on stopping the run.
Washington wants extra high-end offensive talent expertise — even when McLaurin returns, and notably in 2025 — to verify this does not occur extra sooner or later. The Commanders additionally must develop a constant dashing assault.
Merely put, they want extra offensive weapons — receivers, tight ends or backs — able to persistently beating man protection. That may power defenses into totally different appears to be like whereas additionally giving Daniels the flexibility to do away with the ball faster and subsequently scramble much less. — Keim
Might the Commanders add a QB earlier than the deadline, or are they comfy with Mariota and Josh Johnson?
If we be taught Daniels is out for a major time period — like the remainder of the season — I might see them including a quarterback simply in order that they have greater than two. However that does not need to be through a commerce, and I do not consider this can be a Jake Browning/Cincinnati state of affairs the place Washington feels it wants an improve on the beginning QB spot. The Commanders have full perception in Mariota's potential to run their offense. Gamers on that group have advised me on a number of events that they consider Mariota to be one of many high 32 quarterbacks within the league and that they see themselves as having two beginning QBs with Daniels and Mariota.
So whereas, sure, the Commanders are prone to wish to add a QB to their room if Daniels is out for a protracted whereas, I do not suppose they're going to immediately be elevating it to the highest of their pre-deadline precedence checklist. This group has different points, particularly on protection, that it might want to deal with if it determined to be within the enterprise of buying and selling picks for gamers right here within the subsequent day and a half. — Graziano
What are the Commanders' possibilities with out Daniels based on FPI/remaining schedule power?
We now have FPI set to contemplate Daniels out till the ultimate 4 weeks, after which it provides him a 25% probability to return in each recreation thereafter as a tough estimate based mostly on ESPN's reporting. On condition that framework, the mannequin views Washington's season as successfully over, with 6.2 whole projected wins and a 2% probability to make the playoffs. It is hardly a shock, after being embarrassed by the Seahawks on Sunday night time to drop its file to 3-6. Even accounting for Daniels' missed time this season, the Commanders have dissatisfied. They entered the season eyeing one other deep playoff run; as a substitute, they should be contemplating dealing gamers away earlier than Tuesday's commerce deadline. — Walder
What in regards to the draft? The place is Washington predicted to choose, and who might it now goal in Spherical 1?
In keeping with ESPN FPI draft order projections, the Commanders are projected to choose at No. 8, and it may very well be even larger if issues go actually sideways. It might be a chance to deal with a defensive unit that has struggled to generate stress this season, and defensive finish is atop the wants checklist in Washington. Auburn's Keldric Faulk and Miami's Rueben Bain Jr. are two stress mills who might assist resolve the Commanders' pass-rush issues instantly. Each gamers have two sacks this season however have the traits to persistently get after the QB. — Reid
