Progress in India's exports could possibly be because of base impact, together with anticipated continued buoyancy in manufacturing exercise supported by elevated capability utilisation and congenial monetary circumstances, beneficial prospects of present commerce negotiations with a number of international locations, and an expansionary financial coverage in India, it stated.
The outlook is, nonetheless, topic to dangers of upper tariffs and world commerce coverage uncertainty affecting world demand, rising geo-economic fragmentation and persisting geo-political tensions, it stated.
Forecast of progress in India's whole merchandise exports, non-oil exports, non-gems and jewelry exports are launched by Exim Financial institution on a quarterly foundation, throughout the first fortnight of the months of Could, August, November, and February for the corresponding quarters, based mostly on its Export Main Index (ELI) mannequin, it stated.
The following progress forecast for India's exports for the third quarter of FY26 (October-December 2025) can be launched throughout the first fortnight of November 2025, it added.