Week 7 will get underway with a matchup of AFC North rivals, because the Pittsburgh Steelers go to the Cincinnati Bengals on “Thursday Night time Soccer.”
Sunday's slate begins with the Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville Jaguars assembly at Wembley Stadium in London, and the Indianapolis Colts visiting the Los Angeles Chargers highlights the late afternoon window of video games.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions get collectively in a battle of offensive juggernauts to kick off a “Monday Night time Soccer” doubleheader, and the evening wraps up with the Houston Texans visiting the Seattle Seahawks.
Eric Karabell, Pamela Maldonado, Matt Bowen, Eric Moody, Joe Fortenbaugh and Seth Walder seemed on the early Week 7 odds and recognized which of them are price leaping on now earlier than potential shifts later within the week.
Be aware: Odds at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET Sportsbook
Miami Dolphins-Cleveland Browns whole factors UNDER 40.5 (-115)
Bowen: Cleveland is averaging solely 13.7 PPG this season, the second fewest within the league. And while you watch the Browns on tape, with Dillon Gabriel at quarterback, they are not constructed to create explosive performs at a excessive price. This looks like a recreation (based mostly on the matchup) the place rookie working again Quinshon Judkins is featured. Management tempo whereas leaning in your protection to restrict Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami cross recreation. The sport is in Cleveland, too. Take the below.
Final week: Buccaneers -2.5 vs. 49ers (Buccaneers gained, 30-19)
Detroit Lions to cowl -4.5 (-110) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fortenbaugh: This luckbox Buccaneers run is coming to a screeching halt sooner or later within the close to future, so we'd as properly lean into the projected regression with a Lions crew enjoying at house off a loss. Tampa Bay is now 5-1 on the season with a degree differential of +14. To place that into perspective, the Seahawks are 4-2 with a degree differential of +49 and the Texans are 2-3 with a degree differential of +47. Throw within the myriad accidents to the Tampa receiving unit and you have got Detroit overlaying the 4.5 and restoring order to the NFC.
Final week: Steelers -4.5 vs. Browns (Steelers gained, 23-9)
Cincinnati Bengals to cowl +5.5 (-105) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Karabell: Let's cease a bit wanting anticipating Joe Flacco and the Bengals to win the sport, however it's a house recreation in opposition to a heated rival on a brief week, and the addition of Flacco does change issues. It is not like Pittsburgh's QB is a few younger fellow. Flacco ought to maintain this recreation shut within the fourth quarter, at least. I might not take the Steelers in swimming pools. It is a discipline objective recreation on the finish.
Final week: Ravens-Rams over 45.5 (Rams gained, 17-3)
New York Giants to cowl +7 (Even) at Denver Broncos
Maldonado: The Giants are quietly figuring it out with Jaxson Dart. You possibly can really feel the shift. They lastly have an id. Run the ball, management the clock, make the opposite crew uncomfortable. Dart is not placing up online game numbers, however he is doing precisely what this offense wants: extending performs. The protection is beginning to look nasty too, particularly up entrance with Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux collapsing pockets. It is not flashy, however it's efficient. Going into Denver, this looks like one other a kind of ugly, grind-it-out video games. The Giants are actually constructed for that.
Final week: Eagles-Giants below 42 (Giants gained, 34-17)
Carolina Panthers to cowl -1.5 (+105) at New York Jets
Moody: The Panthers have gained two straight and scored 27 or extra factors in three of their final 4 video games. Rico Dowdle erupted for 234 whole yards two weeks in the past and piled on 239 extra in a Week 6 win over Dallas, and Carolina's protection shut down Javonte Williams and Cowboys' working recreation. The Jets, in the meantime, managed simply 82 whole yards in opposition to the Broncos in London, the third-lowest single-game whole in franchise historical past. With momentum on their aspect and New York reeling, it is a good spot to again Carolina. The Panthers are 4-1 in opposition to the unfold of their final 5 video games.
Final week: 49ers +2.5 at Buccaneers (Buccaneers gained, 30-19)
Baltimore Ravens to MISS the playoffs (Even)
Walder: I will be the primary one to say throw out any historic stats about how typically 1-5 groups make the playoffs relating to the 2025 Ravens. Most 1-5 groups are merely dangerous, and regardless of no matter we've seen from Baltimore so far, I do not suppose anybody expects that it is a dangerous crew going ahead. And virtually none of these groups have a perennial MVP candidate like Lamar Jackson, both. And barely have these groups confronted the toughest schedule within the NFL (because the Ravens have) and can face the Twenty seventh-hardest schedule going ahead (because the Ravens will). It is as a result of all of that that I used to be completely ready to argue for Baltimore's probabilities to make the playoffs — after which I noticed the percentages. The 1-5 Ravens are even cash to miss the playoffs? They actually may come again, however 50/50? That stunned me, and it actually would shock FPI. The mannequin, which assumes Jackson returns after the crew's Week 7 bye, provides the Ravens solely a 25% likelihood to make the playoffs. The Ravens will want quite a bit to go their strategy to play playoff soccer once more.
Final week: Steelers -4.5 vs. Browns (Steelers gained, 23-9)
