Betting recap: The Flacco impact? Bettors again Bengals, get cowl vs. Packers

As a basic rule every week, public bettors are inclined to again favorites — each on the unfold and in moneyline parlays — and the sportsbooks, in flip, cheer for the underdogs to cowl and even win outright. When massive spreads come round, it may be divisive to bettors, forcing them to decide on between a blowout victory or a extra aggressive recreation, regardless of how massive the talent hole between the groups.

This week, the Cincinnati Bengals have been catching round two touchdowns at Lambeau Subject towards the Inexperienced Bay Packers. For a lot of the week, the Bengals have been 14.5-point underdogs, however they took a considerably shocking quantity of motion, with BetMGM reporting 75% of wagers and 72% of deal with behind the Bengals on Sunday morning.

ESPN BET had a small majority of its unfold deal with for the sport backing Cincinnati, however then dropped the road to 13.5 on Sunday morning. That would have led to some buyback, as Inexperienced Bay completed with a small majority of the deal with main into the opening kickoff.

It is not completely clear why the general public was on Cincy early within the week, but it surely could possibly be the Joe Flacco impact. The Bengals traded for Flacco earlier within the week, and the veteran quarterback led the Cleveland Browns to a victory over the Pack as 7.5-point underdogs in Week 3, the second-largest outright upset of the 12 months.

Caesars Sportsbook head of soccer Joey Feazel believes the change at QB might have attracted big-money bettors, although he notes that lots of the public wagers have been nonetheless backing Inexperienced Bay to cowl the large quantity.

“We did see an uptick in wagers on the Bengals moneyline, which I feel could possibly be attributed to Flacco taking management of this offense over Jake Browning,” Feazel stated over e mail. “On the unfold facet of issues, we noticed the general public totally on the Packers and the sharps on the Bengals +14.5 and +14. With the whole being that low, sharps would hardly ever be laying the factors in that scenario.”

Whereas the Packers led the sport wire-to-wire, the Bengals drove down the sector and scored a landing with 4 minutes to go for a ultimate rating of 27-18, giving Inexperienced Bay the win and Cincinnati the quilt.

The response from sportsbooks assorted based mostly on the motion that got here in: As Feazel implied, the Packers' public help meant a superb outcome for the guide, whereas the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas felt the ache from help on the Bengals, as with BetMGM.

“Packers recreation actually damage us,” John Murray, vp of Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, advised ESPN. “That ultimate rating was about as dangerous because it might get for us between teasers to Packers, straight bets on Bengals, and the sport by some means going over the whole.”

Many entrants in survivor contests have been probably sweating a bit of each time the Bengals acquired near night the rating. The Packers have been by far essentially the most chosen group within the $1,000 entry Circa Survivor contest, racking up 54.4% of the entries this week.

NFL odds & ends

• Tampa Bay quarterback Baker Mayfield started the season at 30-1 to win MVP. He is now the second selection at +400, behind solely Buffalo's Josh Allen (+155).

• The Carolina Panthers, which beat the favored Dallas Cowboys 30-27 on Sunday, have coated the unfold of their final eight video games as a house underdog.

• The Browns have did not cowl the unfold in eight straight street video games after their 23-9 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday.

• The Tennessee Titans, which misplaced 20-10 to the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, fell to 4-19 towards the unfold underneath coach Brian Callahan. It is the worst ATS document by any coach within the Tremendous Bowl period with a minimal of 5 video games.

• Caesars Sportsbook stated the biggest guess it took this week was $312,000 on the New York Giants +7.5 towards the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday. The Giants pulled the upset, cashing the guess for the client.

• 5 entries did not submit their decide by the deadline in Circa Survivor, the NFL survivor pool with a $1,000 buy-in and $18.7 million prize pool.

Faculty soccer odds & ends

• Penn State entered the season ranked No. 2, had the third-best title odds (+650), behind solely Ohio State and Texas, and was a -350 favourite to make the Faculty Soccer Playoff at ESPN BET. As of final Monday, extra money had been guess on the Nittany Lions to win the nationwide championship than had been wagered on Ohio State at BetMGM.

  It seems Penn State will come up brief. The Nittany Lions have misplaced three in a row, their quarterback Drew Allar is out for the season they usually fired coach James Franklin on Sunday. In addition they made doubtful historical past by turning into the primary group to lose back-to-back video games as favourite of 20+ because the 1978 FBS-FCS break up.

  The Nittany Lions misplaced to Northwestern as 21-point favorites on Saturday, per week after they have been upset by UCLA as 25-point favorites. Penn State has been on the shedding finish of the 2 largest upsets of the season.

• The purpose unfold on the Pink River Rivalry between Oklahoma and Texas noticed up-and-down line motion all week. Texas opened as round a 3-point favourite, however the line began to maneuver towards the underdog Sooners as information surfaced that quarterback John Mateer might play.

  Mateer had surgical procedure on a damaged thumb in mid-September, however considerably unexpectedly returned in time for the Texas recreation. On Friday, Oklahoma turned the favourite, however the line flipped once more forward of Saturday's kickoff.

  “The road swung again to Texas being favored, largely as a result of folks began questioning how efficient Mateer might actually be simply two weeks faraway from surgical procedure,” Feazel of Caesars Sportsbook stated. ” So, quite a lot of the motion was tied to Mateer, however there was additionally some sharper Texas cash that got here in late as soon as the market began to overreact a bit.”

  Mateer began, however Texas cruised to a 23-6 win.

• Miami QB Carson Beck moved into the position of Heisman Trophy favourite at +360 at ESPN BET. Alabama QB Ty Simpson is the second selection at +370, adopted by Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza (+550).