ADB famous India's sturdy 7.8% progress in Q1FY26 however warned that the excessive US tariffs will impede progress, particularly within the second half of FY26 and in FY27. Even so, the financial institution mentioned resilient home demand and strong service exports will assist cushion the influence. For South Asia, the financial institution has forecast 5.9% progress in 2025. India can be one of many area's fastest-growing economies after Bhutan.
US President Donald Trump has levied a 50% tariff on Indian items, together with a 25% penalty for importing Russian oil, among the many highest alongside Brazil.
“Regardless of ongoing commerce challenges, we stay optimistic about India's long-term progress,” mentioned Mio Oka, ADB nation director for India. “The implementation of tariffs will weigh on progress, however general influence on GDP is predicted to be contained as a result of India's comparatively decrease publicity to the US markets, elevated exports to various markets and a pickup in home demand.”