2025 NFL midseason report: Questions and stats for every workforce

9 weeks of the 2025 NFL season have handed. Some groups are using excessive, whereas others are greedy for wins.

A lot of what we believed we knew when all of it started in September has been validated — however numerous surprises, and accidents, have modified the course of our early season predictions.

The quarterback carousel spins in Arizona, New Orleans and San Francisco with accidents forcing backups to step up whereas Jaxson Dart has impressed as a rookie QB in New York. The NFC West is likely one of the strongest divisions midway by way of the season and the New England Patriots are making a push for the AFC East title over the Buffalo Payments. The descent of the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans is indeniable. Jackson Smith-Njigba is seemingly unstoppable.

With that in thoughts, ESPN's 32 NFL workforce reporters took half in a midseason reset. Right here they lay out what they've discovered by way of the primary 9 video games and body what's to return over the ultimate 9 weeks and past. Groups are ranked under by the place every stands within the ESPN's Soccer Energy Index (FPI) rankings, and every membership's present odds to win the division are additionally included in addition to Eric Moody contributing non-QB fantasy soccer nuggets.

Bounce to a workforce:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

FPI rank: 1
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 75.5%
Probabilities to win their division: 27.2%

First-half storyline: The Chiefs have a stronger offense surrounding quarterback Patrick Mahomes this season than they'd a yr in the past and their protection, led by go rusher Chris Jones, remains to be serviceable. However not like final yr, all 4 of the Chiefs' losses have are available in one-score video games. That is regarding for a workforce that's on the skin of the AFC playoff image.

QB stat to know: Mahomes wants rhythm. Earlier than falling to the Payments, Mahomes averaged a 2.61-second time to throw, the quickest amongst certified quarterbacks. That rhythm led to him producing 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. However the Payments compelled Mahomes to carry onto the ball, resulting in his longest time to throw in a sport over the previous two seasons at 3.37 seconds. That is one purpose why Mahomes had his worst efficiency of the season.

Second-half storyline: Can Jones elevate his play to famous person degree once more? At age 31, Jones hasn't been as dominant as in earlier years. The Chiefs did not make a transfer on the deadline to enhance their go rush round Jones, both. As soon as once more, Jones should carry the burden for lifting Steve Spagnuolo's unit. Coming into their bye week, the Chiefs have recorded simply 20 sacks and 9 takeaways. — Nate Taylor

Fantasy nugget: RBs Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt are positioned for fulfillment all through the remainder of the season, because the Chiefs have the Eleventh-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy working backs and one of many league's best offenses. Kansas Metropolis ranks sixth in complete yards and ninth in factors per sport. — Moody

FPI rank: 2
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 88.0%
Probabilities to win their division: 38.5%

First-half storyline: The Rams appear to be a workforce able to a deep playoff run. The Rams have proven this season that they'll rely on each side of the ball to win video games. The offense is led by quarterback Matthew Stafford, who's enjoying himself into the MVP dialog in his seventeenth season. The Rams' protection has allowed 20 factors mixed in its previous three video games.

QB stat to know: In line with ESPN Analysis, on Sunday, Stafford joined Tom Brady (2007, 2015), Patrick Mahomes (2020) and Aaron Rodgers (2020) as the one quarterbacks with a minimum of 20 landing passes and not more than two interceptions of their workforce's first eight video games.

Second-half storyline: Can the Rams repair their particular groups struggles earlier than a possible playoff run? Though their kicking operation didn't value them the sport in Week 9, head coach Sean McVay mentioned it has in video games already this season and it'll once more if they don't make modifications. “This isn't sustainable to constantly go the place we wish to go,” McVay mentioned. — Sarah Barshop

Fantasy nugget: RB Kyren Williams has scored 10 or extra fantasy factors in seven of eight video games this season, together with 4 with 16 or extra. He has averaged 19 touches behind a Rams offensive line that ranks seventh in run block win charge. Los Angeles additionally has the 14th-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy working backs, so Williams ought to proceed to thrive. — Moody

FPI rank: 3
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 93.6%
Probabilities to win their division: 79.4%

First-half storyline: The Colts have the No. 1 offense within the NFL, one thing that even probably the most optimistic fan was unlikely to have predicted. They've been on a historic offensive tear, averaging 3.46 factors per drive by way of Week 8, the second most by any workforce by way of its first eight weeks since 1978, in accordance with ESPN Analysis. Solely the 2007 New England Patriots, who went 16-0 within the common season, surpassed that mark. The offensive technique of coach Shane Steichen has been a giant a part of the quick begin as he has lastly achieved some quarterback stability with veteran Daniel Jones on the controls.

QB stat to know: Jones has been sensible this season after six up-and-down years with the New York Giants. Coming into Week 9, he had posted 4 straight video games with a minimum of 200 yards and two passing touchdowns, the longest such stretch of his profession. Of specific observe is Jones' skill to thrive when underneath stress. Whereas the Colts boast among the finest offensive traces within the NFL, Jones has nonetheless been unflappable at these instances when he's pressured. His 55.7% completion charge when underneath stress is the second greatest within the NFL by way of eight weeks.

Second-half storyline: Can Sauce Gardner assist remodel the protection? The Colts shocked the league on Tuesday by delivery two first-round picks and receiver Adonai Mitchell to the New York Jets for the two-time All-Professional cornerback. His arrival mixed with the anticipated return of beginning cornerback Charvarius Ward within the coming weeks might give the Colts one of many NFL's elite defensive backfields. With slot cornerback Kenny Moore II roaming the center of the sphere and with offseason $60 million signing Cam Bynum at free security, the Colts have invested a boatload of money into the unit. Will it repay? — Stephen Holder

Fantasy nugget: Regardless that RB Jonathan Taylor is coming off a sport by which he scored a season-low 7.7 fantasy factors in opposition to the Steelers — after posting 23 or extra in every of the 4 earlier video games — it is vital for managers to notice that the Colts' upcoming schedule will get a lot harder. Nonetheless, Indianapolis' offensive line ranks third in run block win charge, and Taylor is gifted sufficient to stay productive in tough matchups. — Moody

FPI rank: 4
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 95.6%
Probabilities to win their division: 60.7%

First-half storyline: The Payments have meandered by way of some tough patches — particularly through the two-game dropping streak going into the bye week however managed to return out of it with a 6-2 file and have stored tempo with the AFC. The offense is working towards discovering a passing sport to stability with the speeding assault, whereas defensive accidents piled up.

QB stat to know: Josh Allen has 281 profession passing and speeding touchdowns, probably the most in a participant's first 120 regular-season video games in NFL historical past, passing Patrick Mahomes (280, one hundred and twentieth sport in Week 8). Towards the Chiefs in Week 9, Allen had the very best completion share in Payments historical past (88.5%), whereas impacting file books on the bottom with two extra speeding touchdowns.

Second-half storyline: Can the Payments get the No. 1 seed within the AFC? Regardless of the accidents and questions, the win over the Chiefs is a reminder of what this workforce is able to together with Allen all the time giving it an opportunity. First up is thrashing the Patriots to the AFC East title, however the looming goal stays the highest seed. — Alaina Getzenberg

Fantasy nugget: TE Dalton Kincaid completed with a season-high 22.1 fantasy factors in Week 9 in opposition to the Chiefs. Regardless that he is splitting snaps, routes and targets with three different choices in Buffalo's tight finish committee, Kincaid has averaged 4.7 targets and 13.2 fantasy factors. The Payments even have the Thirteenth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy tight ends. — Moody

FPI rank: 5
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 70.0%
Probabilities to win their division: 36.4%

First-half storyline: At 5-2 coming into the bye week, the Lions had been undefeated at house (3-0), profitable every sport at Ford Discipline by 15 or extra factors, however head coach Dan Campbell nonetheless believed they weren't enjoying their “greatest ball but collectively in all three phases,” as they continued to regulate to first-year offensive coordinator John Morton and defensive coordinator Kelvin Sheppard.

QB stat to know: Lions QB Jared Goff is the third quarterback in NFL historical past to build up a minimum of 17 landing passes, a 73.0% completion share and a passer ranking of 115.0 by way of the primary eight video games, becoming a member of Drew Brees (2018) and Tom Brady (2007). Goff has additionally thrown a landing in 14 consecutive video games and for the fifteenth straight sport in opposition to divisional opponents following Sunday's loss to Minnesota.

Second-half storyline: Campbell and the Lions are eyeing a troublesome November stretch the place he expects issues to start out shaking out inside the division with robust video games at Washington, Philadelphia and Inexperienced Bay to allow them to actually see what they're manufactured from. “You are going to begin seeing the risers and fallers, and a number of these groups are enjoying one another,” Campbell mentioned. “We're considered one of them.” — Eric Woodyard

Fantasy nugget: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded seven or extra receptions in six of eight video games this season. He is additionally seen 10 or extra targets in 4 of them as the focus of the Lions' passing assault. With the fifth-easiest upcoming schedule for fantasy wideouts and several other potential shootouts forward as a result of Detroit's robust upcoming defensive matchups, St. Brown's outlook stays sturdy and will additionally open up extra big-play alternatives for fellow receiver Jameson Williams. — Moody

FPI rank: 6
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 94.1%
Probabilities to win their division: 90.8%

First-half storyline: The start of the season was largely about offensive discovery. The bottom sport was largely caught in impartial as Saquon Barkley and a banged-up offensive line confronted stacked bins and new defensive seems to be geared toward taking away area. The passing sport had bother getting on observe, too, as you may need gathered from A.J. Brown's cryptic tweets. The offense began to click on over the previous two video games, although, as new offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo started using extra underneath heart and play-action, providing hope that the group might hit its stride within the second half.

QB stat to know: Jalen Hurts has an NFL-leading 11 touchdowns in opposition to the blitz this season. He's finishing 68.8% of his throws in opposition to five-plus rushers whereas throwing only one interception. Dealing with the blitz was a problem for Hurts in 2023 (61.1% completion charge, 5 TD, 8 INT) however he has turned it round big-time with 21 touchdowns to 2 interceptions and a completion share of 66.8 for the reason that begin of the 2024 season.

Second-half storyline: Can the reigning champs defend their crown? The Eagles are in good place to repeat within the NFC East and boast arguably probably the most gifted roster within the league. Some marquee matchups, together with back-to-back video games in opposition to the Inexperienced Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, will assist gauge how a lot separation, if any, there's between Philadelphia and the remainder of the NFC contenders. The Eagles have the fourth-most tough remaining power of schedule, so there shall be loads of assessments alongside the best way. — Tim McManus

Fantasy nugget: WRs Brown and DeVonta Smith's fantasy manufacturing and rapport with Hurts are well-documented. Neither has been constant this season, however Philadelphia has the third-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy broad receivers. Each are wonderful commerce targets for managers in want of a receiver. — Moody

FPI rank: 7
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 79.9%
Probabilities to win their division: 50.6%

First-half storyline: The addition of Micah Parsons turned what many believed was a Tremendous Bowl contender right into a Tremendous Bowl favourite. He not solely gave the Packers' go rush a much-needed increase (he leads the NFL in pressures), however he energized the locker room — and never simply the defensive gamers. “He is been excellent,” coach Matt LaFleur mentioned of Parsons. “All these guys are form of feeding off each other.”

QB stat to know: Whereas Love won't have a No. 1 receiver, he clearly has a favourite. He has focused Romeo Doubs a team-high 52 instances, and the disparity might change into even better as a result of Love's second-favorite goal, Tucker Kraft (44 targets), sustained a season-ending torn ACL on Sunday.

Second-half storyline: The NFC North. The Packers nonetheless have 5 of their six division video games remaining. They opened the season with a win over the Lions however do not play their subsequent NFC North opponent till Week 12 in opposition to the Vikings. That begins a stretch of three straight division video games. In all, 5 of their remaining seven video games are in opposition to the NFC North. — Rob Demovsky

Fantasy nugget: RB Josh Jacobs is likely one of the few Packers gamers who has been constant for fantasy managers this season. He has scored 10 or extra fantasy factors in each sport, together with 4 with 18 or extra, and has averaged 20.5 touches. The Packers even have the ninth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy working backs. — Moody

FPI rank: 8
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 51.2%
Probabilities to win their division: 46.4%

First-half storyline: Widespread accidents, together with one to QB Lamar Jackson, led to a 1-5 begin, which is tied for the worst within the franchise's 30-year historical past. The Ravens' Week 1 starters have totaled 28 missed video games, together with 10 being sidelined for a minimum of one week. In a 44-10 loss in Week 5 to Houston, Baltimore was with out its six highest-paid gamers as a result of accidents.

QB stat to know: Jackson has performed his greatest within the second half of the common season. He's 39-11 (.780) within the remaining three months of the common season (November, December and January), which ranks solely behind Patrick Mahomes (49-12) since 2018. Jackson has produced 109 touchdowns and 26 interceptions.

Second-half storyline: The Ravens do not have a lot margin for error in the event that they wish to make the playoffs, however they've the NFL's eighth-easiest remaining schedule. Baltimore's subsequent 4 opponents — the Vikings, Browns, Jets and Bengals — are a mixed 10-23 (.303). Jackson has led the Ravens to the playoffs in every of the 5 common seasons that he is been wholesome sufficient to complete. — Jamison Hensley

Fantasy nugget: The Ravens' protection is being neglected in fantasy. By the primary 5 weeks of the season, Baltimore allowed 35.4 PPG. Within the three video games since, Baltimore has given up simply 13.0 PPG and gained back-to-back contests for the primary time this season. Its subsequent 4 matchups come in opposition to groups with quarterbacks vulnerable to turnovers. — Moody

FPI rank: 9
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 90.2%
Probabilities to win their division: 36.2%

First-half storyline: Sadly for the 49ers, the season has adopted a well-recognized storyline: coping with vital accidents to their star gamers. They misplaced their two greatest defenders — linebacker Fred Warner (ankle) and defensive finish Nick Bosa (knee) — for the remainder of the season, and so they've performed huge chunks of time with out beginning quarterback Brock Purdy (toe), tight finish George Kittle (hamstring) and receivers Ricky Pearsall (knee) and Jauan Jennings (ankle, ribs, shoulder). They may want significantly better well being to remain within the postseason chase.

QB stat to know: 5, as within the variety of wins the 49ers have with Mac Jones filling in for Purdy. The 49ers have misplaced twice in seven begins with Jones, a quantity made extra spectacular by the truth that he has been throwing to an inconsistent group of receivers and tight ends plus star working again Christian McCaffrey. Jones hasn't been good however not many backup quarterbacks are delivering victories like he has by way of the primary half of the season.

Second-half storyline: Can the 49ers' offense get wholesome and take off? The Niners do not get Warner or Bosa again, and although a few of their younger defenders have proven promise, the onus for this season to proceed on a playoff path falls on an skilled offense that hopes to get Purdy, Pearsall and Brandon Aiyuk again. Kittle put it greatest after Sunday's win in opposition to the Giants, saying “our offense wants to attain a number of factors week in and week out. That is simply what it's.” — Nick Wagoner

Fantasy nugget: The 49ers' offense has handled accidents all season, together with to Kittle, however he is one participant arrange for a powerful end. In three video games since getting back from a hamstring damage suffered in Week 1, Kittle has totaled simply 75 yards and a landing. Nevertheless, he is a decent finish who has completed sixth or higher in fantasy factors per sport in every of the previous seven seasons. — Moody

FPI rank: 10
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 89.7%
Probabilities to win their division: 48.2%

First-half storyline: The Broncos are, at simply over the midway level of the season, tied for the very best file within the league. They're sitting on the prime having thrived within the tightest moments with a protection that is likely one of the league's greatest and one of the vital aggressive — no workforce has performed extra man-to-man protection than the Broncos have (63.6%). The Broncos are 4-0 in video games they've trailed at first of the fourth quarter, and their protection has had 4 video games when it has not surrendered a landing.

QB stat to know: Maybe it's as a result of the Broncos have trailed into the fourth quarter in virtually half of their video games, QB Bo Nix is all of the sudden one of many league's high-volume throwers — he is third in makes an attempt and considered one of 4 quarterbacks with over 300 makes an attempt within the first 9 weeks. And he can possible count on defenses to show up the warmth a bit the remainder of the best way — he is finishing 48% of his passes in opposition to stress seems to be, and his default is usually to throw deep underneath duress given he's averaging 9.0 air yards underneath stress. So, when defenses put him underneath stress, he is typically making an attempt to throw over all of it with restricted success.

Second-half storyline: The Broncos offense seems to nonetheless be looking for the identification coach Sean Payton has mentioned it wants to search out. It has scored greater than 21 factors in 4 video games — albeit not till the fourth quarter within the win over the Giants — however three of these video games had been in opposition to groups within the league's backside 5 in scoring protection (Giants, twenty eighth; Cowboys, thirty first; Bengals, thirty second). The Broncos are additionally, with the league's chief in defensive effectivity, 1-2 in opposition to groups that presently have profitable information. They will want extra after they have the ball the remainder of the best way. — Jeff Legwold

Fantasy nugget: WR Troy Franklin is ascending on the good time. The second-year receiver has seen eight or extra targets in three straight video games and averaged 16.0 fantasy factors throughout that span. Franklin is greatest considered as a 1B choice to Courtland Sutton's 1A, and the duo has the potential to be difference-makers for the remainder of the season in a Broncos offense that ranks Thirteenth in complete yards and 14th in factors per sport. — Moody

FPI rank: 11
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 83.5%
Probabilities to win their division: 25.3%

First-half storyline: The Seahawks' protection has been wonderful and receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba is on a historic tempo. However the largest purpose Seattle is 6-2 and tied atop the NFC West is QB Sam Darnold, who's exhibiting that his Professional Bowl 2024 season with Minnesota wasn't only a one-year surprise however a really actual breakthrough.

QB stat to know: Darnold ranks third in QBR at 78.3. To additional contextualize how effectively he is enjoying, he leads the NFL in yards per try (9.6), yards per drop again (9.05) and air yards per try (9.1) whereas owing the fourth-lowest sack charge (3.9%). That illustrates how he is pushing the ball down area with success and avoiding the destructive performs that always include that fashion of play.

Second-half storyline: Can the Seahawks get their run sport going? It is the one factor that is not already clicking on both aspect of the ball, as Seattle ranks second-to-last in yards per carry at 3.7. The Seahawks lead the NFL in designed rush charge (48.1%), and one optimistic with their underperforming run sport is that their dedication to it has led to numerous loaded bins, which has opened issues up for Darnold and the passing sport. — Brady Henderson

Fantasy nugget: Smith-Njigba is the primary participant with a minimum of eight receptions and 120 receiving yards in 4 consecutive video games since Odell Beckham Jr.'s four-game streak in 2014. The one different participant to perform this feat for the reason that 1970 merger was Andre Johnson, who additionally had 4 straight in 2008. Smith-Njigba is likely one of the few gamers in fantasy that managers ought to maintain, not commerce. — Moody

FPI rank: 12
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 75.4%
Probabilities to win their division: 24.5%

First-half storyline: The checklist of the Chargers' injured stars is seemingly endless: OT Rashawn Slater (season-ending left knee patellar tendon rupture), OT Joe Alt (two excessive ankle sprains), RB Omarion Hampton (ankle) and RB Najee Harris (a ruptured Achilles tendon), to call a couple of.

The Chargers have needed to play video games with their sixth- and seventh-string offensive linemen this season, fourth- and fifth-string working backs. It is why the Chargers misplaced three of 4 video games after starting the season 3-0.

QB stat to know: Justin Herbert is on tempo to throw 15 interceptions this season.

After throwing simply three interceptions within the common season final season, Herbert has been uncharacteristically turnover-happy this season. A few of it's dangerous luck, like deflected balls on the line of scrimmage, however others fall on poor ball placement or Herbert seeking to make a giant play that is not precisely open.

Second-half storyline: Can they overcome their accidents to contend?

The reply to this query possible is determined by the standing of left deal with Alt, who suffered one other excessive ankle sprain in Sunday's win over the Titans. The Chargers are undefeated when he finishes a sport, and his presence raises the ceiling of this workforce from common to a contender. — Kris Rhim

Fantasy nugget: The Chargers' broad receivers have given fantasy managers complications this season, however Ladd McConkey seems to be the one they'll belief most. Over the previous 4 video games, he is seen 9 or extra targets in three of them and scored a minimum of 15 fantasy factors in every of these outings. McConkey is an excellent route runner who persistently creates separation, and Herbert finds him typically. Maintain in case you have him, or commerce for McConkey in the event you want a strong receiver. — Moody

FPI rank: 13
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 12.7%
Probabilities to win their division: 3.0%

First-half storyline: When the Texans win, their offense averages 32 factors, however after they lose, they common 14. The output sinks after they play higher opponents as they're 1-5 in opposition to groups with a profitable file. The Texans have the eighth-hardest remaining schedule.

QB stat to know: C.J. Stroud's QBR is Twelfth highest (64.8), which is the very best it has been as a Texan even together with his rookie yr when he was a Professional Bowler and the Offensive Rookie of the Yr.

Second-half storyline: What number of video games does Stroud miss with a concussion? He suffered it in opposition to the Broncos and if he misses contests, the Texans won't survive as a result of the offense is extremely depending on Stroud being wonderful. They're 3-5, and if Stroud misses a number of video games, Houston's season may be over. — DJ Bien-Aime

Fantasy nugget: The Texans' protection is likely one of the uncommon fantasy items that managers can maintain onto all season. Houston permits the fewest fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks, the eighth fewest to working backs, the fourth fewest to broad receivers and the fifth fewest to tight ends. — Moody

FPI rank: 14
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 18.8%
Probabilities to win their division: 7.5%

First-half storyline: With out Micah Parsons, the Cowboys protection fell aside. By 9 video games, opposing offenses have scored on practically half of their possessions in opposition to the Cowboys protection. They've allowed 38 working performs and 10 yards or extra and 30 go performs of 20 yards or extra. All of it has negated an offense that's within the prime two in yards and factors per sport.

QB stat to know: Dak Prescott has thrived in lots of spots this yr, however largely with play-action. He has accomplished 82% of his passes (72 of 88) for 712 yards and 9 touchdowns utilizing play-action. The specter of a working sport has all the time been vital for Prescott, and it has helped him enormously up to now.

Second-half storyline: The schedule solely will get harder, so how will the Cowboys discover sufficient wins to both take the division from the Eagles or sneak in as a wild card? They face a three-game stretch in opposition to the Eagles, Chiefs and Lions. To be able to keep related, they should win a minimum of two of these. — Todd Archer

Fantasy nugget: The renaissance of RB Javonte Williams has been enjoyable to observe and rewarding for managers who took an opportunity on him through the draft. He is averaged 18.5 touches and 18.6 fantasy factors this season behind a Cowboys offensive line that ranks Eleventh in run block win charge. Managers ought to stay assured in Williams as an RB1 in a Dallas offense that ranks third in complete yards per sport. — Moody

FPI rank: 15
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 91.1%
Probabilities to win their division: 86.6%

First-half storyline: Regardless of being with out a number of key gamers, the Bucs have achieved a 6-2 file for simply the fifth time in franchise historical past. They're the primary workforce in NFL historical past to have gained 4 of their first 5 video games in a season by a margin of three factors or fewer, counting on the last-second heroics of quarterback Baker Mayfield and a much-improved Todd Bowles protection.

QB stat to know: Mayfield, who has generated fairly a little bit of MVP buzz, has led 4 game-winning drives within the remaining minute in opposition to the Falcons, Texans, Jets and Seahawks. Yet one more will give him and the Bucs probably the most in a season in NFL historical past.

Second-half storyline: Can they overcome a large damage hit? Chris Godwin Jr. remains to be out with a fibula damage. Bucky Irving is sidelined with a shoulder impingement and a foot sprain. Plus, Mike Evans will not return till late within the season from a damaged clavicle, and Jalen McMillan's neck fracture makes his timetable unknown. However the Bucs obtained excellent news this week with Luke Goedeke returning to apply after a foot damage landed him on injured reserve. Nonetheless, that is an immense quantity of heavy lifting for Mayfield and the protection. — Jenna Laine

Fantasy nugget: Irving hasn't performed since Week 4 as a result of a foot damage however recorded 18 touches and 13 or extra fantasy factors in every of his 4 video games, together with two with over 18. Fellow RB Rachaad White has managed simply 3.3 yards per carry since Irving's damage. Irving is a participant managers ought to maintain onto or take into account buying and selling for in the event that they want an RB, because the Buccaneers have the Tenth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy working backs. — Moody

FPI rank: 16
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 87.2%
Probabilities to win their division: 39.3%

First-half storyline: The Patriots are one of many NFL's most shocking groups in coach Mike Vrabel's first season. Quarterback Drake Maye has been entered into the MVP dialog with NFL-leading accuracy, and the protection hasn't allowed an opposing working again to realize 50 yards in a sport this season, turning into the primary workforce to start out a marketing campaign and undertaking the feat since 1950.

QB stat to know: Maye is within the midst of an eight-game streak with a passer ranking over 100 to tie the franchise file for consecutive video games. Tom Brady had streaks of eight video games in 2007 and 2010. The NFL file for a single season is 12 consecutive contests, set by Aaron Rodgers in 2011.

Second-half storyline: The tandem of Maye and veteran receiver Stefon Diggs has been among the finest issues going for the Patriots. Diggs leads the workforce with 45 receptions for 508 yards and two touchdowns. His management has resonated with the workforce as he calls out “All of us we obtained!” and gamers reply with “All of us we want!” After a Week 9 win, Diggs mentioned: “I am using with Drake Maye.” — Mike Reiss

Fantasy nugget: RB TreVeyon Henderson gave fantasy managers a glimpse in Week 9 in opposition to the Falcons of what he is able to when given touches, ending the sport with a season-high 18 touches and 12.7 fantasy factors. It stays to be seen what the remainder of the season holds for Henderson (with Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined in Week 9), however the Patriots have the best remaining schedule for fantasy working backs behind an offensive line that ranks eighth in run block win charge. — Moody

FPI rank: 17
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 1.2%
Probabilities to win their division: 0.3%

First-half storyline: The Giants proceed to lose. They're 2-7 for the third straight season, placing the stress on coach Brian Daboll and GM Joe Schoen. They made the swap to rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart and he seems to be like the actual deal. However whereas his presence offered a brief increase, the Giants took main hits with season-ending accidents to star receiver Malik Nabers and rookie working again Cam Skattebo.

QB stat to know: Dart is the primary quarterback since 1950 to have 5 video games with a passing and speeding landing of their first six profession begins. Dart has topped 50 yards speeding in 4 of his six begins. His skill to run and keep away from stress has been spectacular.

Second-half storyline: Do Daboll and Schoen survive? Proprietor John Mara mentioned after final season the outcomes are “going to must get higher if we'll transfer on to yr [five].” In the mean time, the Giants are on tempo for a 4-13 season after 3-14 end final yr. They are going to want to supply leads to the second half whereas concurrently persevering with to develop Dart. — Jordan Raanan

Fantasy nugget: WR Wan'Dale Robinson is in a great place for the remainder of the season with Dart underneath heart, given the rapport the 2 have developed. He is had a minimum of 5 receptions in 4 of his previous 5 video games. Robinson and the Giants even have the sixth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy broad receivers. — Moody

FPI rank: 18
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 59.0%
Probabilities to win their division: 48.2%

First-half storyline: The league's highest-paid protection was among the many worst items by way of the primary eight video games. The Steelers had their greatest defensive efficiency of the season in opposition to the Colts in Week 9 with 5 takeaways — and one other one on particular groups — however they nonetheless rank thirtieth in yards allowed (387.4) and thirty second in passing yards allowed (281.9).

QB stat to know: Aaron Rodgers and his 5.7 common air yards per try ranks final amongst quarterbacks with a minimum of 20 go makes an attempt. And 67.6% of Rodgers' passing yards this season have been picked up after catch, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. The Steelers' offensive recipe this season is rapidly getting the ball out of Rodgers' fingers and letting the talent place gamers go to work — and it is working. Pittsburgh is averaging 25.3 factors, up from 21.9 on the similar time a yr in the past.

Second-half storyline: The Steelers' course the second half of the season shall be dictated by their protection — for higher or worse. The primary half of the season was a curler coaster for that unit because it gave up greater than 390 yards 4 instances. However wins in opposition to the Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts confirmed good issues can occur when the Steelers protection makes splash performs. — Brooke Pryor

Fantasy nugget: It hasn't been nice for WR DK Metcalf in Pittsburgh, nevertheless it hasn't been horrible both. Metcalf has been productive for fantasy functions, scoring 5 touchdowns in eight video games, although he is been held to 50 yards or fewer in half of them. We hold ready for him and Rodgers to click on, however the excellent news is that the Steelers have the Twelfth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy broad receivers. Now may be the proper time to commerce for Metcalf in the event you want a receiver. — Moody

FPI rank: 19
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 52.5%
Probabilities to win their division: 17.6%

First-half storyline: The Jaguars are a shocking 5-3, together with victories in San Francisco and over Kansas Metropolis on “Monday Night time Soccer.” They're profitable regardless of being undisciplined — they lead the NFL in penalties referred to as (93) and accepted (74), which features a league-high 42 offensive infractions — and ravaged by accidents (six starters have missed a minimum of one sport).

QB stat to know: Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has three game-winning drives within the fourth quarter or time beyond regulation, which is probably the most in a season in his profession. He has two speeding scores within the remaining 30 seconds of the fourth quarter or time beyond regulation, making him simply the second participant for the reason that merger in 1970 to try this in a single season. The opposite is Derrick Henry in 2020.

Second-half storyline: It helps that the schedule will get simpler, with video games in opposition to the Jets and Arizona and two in opposition to Tennessee (the three groups are a mixed 4-19), however WR/CB Travis Hunter is on IR with a knee damage and the workforce is not but certain if he is finished for the yr, the secondary is banged up and the go rush stays one of many worst within the NFL. Lots to beat if they will be competing for the playoffs in December. — Mike DiRocco

Fantasy nugget: WR Parker Washington might see extra involvement within the Jaguars' offense with Brian Thomas Jr. battling inconsistency and damage. Jacksonville's receiver room was depleted in Week 9, permitting Washington to steer the workforce in snaps, routes, targets (9) and fantasy factors (17). Even when the starters return, he is earned a bigger function because the Jaguars' main slot receiver in an offense that leans closely on three-receiver units. — Moody

FPI rank: 20
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 32.7%
Probabilities to win their division: 9.9%

First-half storyline: Inconceivable, wild finishes. After an 0-2 begin with losses to the Vikings and Lions, the Bears pulled off three wins within the remaining moments in opposition to the Raiders, Commanders and Bengals, with all these victories approaching the highway. This workforce has proven it's resilient and well-coached by Ben Johnson, and the expansion demonstrated by Caleb Williams will be tracked over these first eight video games, notably in these aforementioned wins given the performs the quarterback made late within the fourth quarters to depart victorious.

QB stat to know: One among Williams' objectives for his second season is to change into the primary 4,000-yard passer in franchise historical past. He is averaging 239.5 yards, which might quantity to 4,071.5 yards over the course of 17 video games.

Second-half storyline: May the Bears be a playoff workforce? After a wild end in Cincinnati, Chicago is 5-3 total, tied with Detroit for second place within the NFC North and a half-game behind first-place Inexperienced Bay. The Bears have the Giants, Browns and Vikings within the subsequent six weeks and might be additional within the hunt for a wild-card spot if they arrive away with wins in these video games. The remainder of the Bears schedule is tough (Inexperienced Bay twice, at Philadelphia and San Francisco), and their division won't lock up three spots once more given the power of the NFC West this yr. However Chicago being contenders for the playoffs in Yr 1 underneath Johnson makes for a must-see TV the following two months. — Courtney Cronin

Fantasy nugget: WR Rome Odunze's zero fantasy factors in Week 9 in opposition to the Bengals (when he recorded fewer than 5 targets for the primary time in eight video games) left a nasty style in managers' mouths. Nonetheless, do not overlook his manufacturing earlier than the bye week, although he is posted just one double-digit fantasy outing in his previous 4. From Weeks 1 by way of 4, Odunze averaged 19.9 fantasy factors. He is a participant managers ought to take into account buying and selling for, as he ought to get again on observe with the Bears having the seventh-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy broad receivers. — Moody

FPI rank: 21
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 11.9%
Probabilities to win their division: 3.1%

First-half storyline: The Vikings hoped they'd a workforce that was sturdy sufficient to assist a quarterback creating. They have not had an opportunity to search out out. QB J.J. McCarthy missed 5 video games due to a excessive proper ankle sprain, and accidents everywhere in the roster have put them on the backside of the NFC North.

QB stat to know: McCarthy has had some huge moments and has run or thrown for each landing the Vikings have scored in his begins. However he has additionally demonstrated a degree of indecision to be anticipated from a participant of his expertise degree. The primary-year starter is averaging 3.12 seconds earlier than throwing, third most of any quarterback who has thrown greater than 5 passes this season.

Second-half storyline: Regardless of how the workforce fares within the win-loss column, the Vikings' prime precedence is getting McCarthy as many snaps as they'll. In a best-case situation, he'll play the Vikings' remaining 10 video games after lacking 23 of the earlier 25 contests. That can go a good distance towards dashing his improvement and solidifying team-building plans for 2026. — Kevin Seifert

Fantasy nugget: McCarthy made his return from a five-game absence and delivered an encouraging efficiency in a troublesome highway matchup in opposition to the Lions in Week 9. He confirmed sturdy chemistry with receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, a promising signal as Minnesota has the best remaining schedule for fantasy broad receivers. Jefferson has averaged 1.7 fantasy factors per goal this season, whereas Addison has averaged 2.1. — Moody

FPI rank: 22
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 1.9%
Probabilities to win their division: 1.4%

First-half storyline: Accidents. Washington has not performed effectively nevertheless it's onerous to flee a reversal of 2024 when it was wholesome. Quarterback Jayden Daniels is sidelined once more, this time with a dislocated elbow. Three of their prime 4 defensive ends are out for the season. Two of their prime three receivers — Terry McLaurin and Noah Brown — have missed a mixed 12 video games.

QB stat to know: Three and counting. That is the variety of video games Daniels has missed this season — that quantity will improve due to his dislocated elbow. Daniels has performed two video games together with his top-three receivers. The result's a disjointed second season. His completion share went from 69.0 as a rookie to 62.5. His QBR went from 67.7 to 51.9 this yr.

Second-half storyline: Can they get well in any respect?

Washington entered as a playoff contender, hoping to construct on a 12-5 season. However the Commanders now want to complete sturdy or face a myriad of questions all offseason, about Daniels' sturdiness, the state of the protection, which has been a significant disappointment, in addition to a roster that wants extra influence younger gamers. — John Keim

Fantasy nugget: RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been a irritating participant to roster this season, because the Commanders stay dedicated to involving all three of their working backs. After scoring 27 fantasy factors in opposition to the Chargers in Week 5, Croskey-Merritt has totaled simply 17.6 factors over the previous 4 video games. With Daniels out for the season as a result of an elbow damage, Washington could be clever to lean on its run sport and an offensive line that ranks Tenth in run block win charge underneath Marcus Mariota. — Moody

FPI rank: 23
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 7.2%
Probabilities to win their division: 1.6%

First-half storyline: Can the Falcons win with out a spectacular efficiency by working again Bijan Robinson? The Falcons are 3-0 in video games the place Robinson has 75 or extra speeding yards. They're 0-5 when he's held underneath that complete. Robinson had 238 yards from scrimmage in opposition to the Payments. Throughout Atlanta's three-game dropping streak, Robinson has 236 yards from scrimmage mixed.

QB stat to know: Michael Penix Jr. had the third-highest QBR (89.6) amongst all quarterbacks in Week 9 (by way of Sunday's video games). After Penix missed Week 8 with a bone bruise in his left knee, that was an indication that he was wholesome and even perhaps turning the nook by way of effectiveness transferring into the second half of the season.

Second-half storyline: Can the Falcons offense lastly obtain its potential? Robinson is likely one of the greatest working backs within the league, broad receiver Drake London has proved to be a potent weapon and tight finish Kyle Pitts Sr. has been persistently strong. It would all come all the way down to the continued improvement of Penix and the safety by a banged-up offensive line. — Marc Raimondi

Fantasy nugget: Pitts has seen seven or extra targets in three straight video games and topped 13 fantasy factors in two of them. This might be the beginning of larger issues for Pitts. The upcoming schedule for Penix and the Falcons' receivers will get a lot harder from right here, which might result in extra involvement for Pitts in Zac Robinson's offense. — Moody

FPI rank: 24
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 7.0%
Probabilities to win their division: 5.3%

First-half storyline: Regardless of modifications within the offseason, the protection nonetheless is not ok. Hiring Al Golden to exchange Lou Anarumo because the workforce's defensive coordinator hasn't prevented the protection from being the worst within the NFL in a number of key classes. Gamers Cincinnati drafted to be essential starters have struggled to be productive. After a great stretch early, the protection has been the primarily blame for losses to the Jets and the Bears.

QB stat to know: Since arriving in Cincinnati, Joe Flacco has been one of the vital environment friendly and productive quarterbacks within the NFL. He has thrown 11 touchdowns since Week 6, probably the most throughout that span. Flacco additionally has simply two interceptions, with considered one of them approaching a Hail Mary on the finish of the loss to the Bears. He is finished his job of reviving Cincinnati's offense.

Second-half storyline: Can Zac Taylor face up to stress to maintain his job? The seventh-year coach is underneath appreciable public criticism after offseason modifications to the teaching employees did not yield higher defensive outcomes. Cincinnati is at extreme danger of lacking the playoffs for the third consecutive yr regardless of getting ok quarterback play to remain in postseason competition. — Ben Child

Fantasy nugget: Flacco has not solely stabilized the fantasy worth of receivers Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins but in addition boosted RB Chase Brown's manufacturing. Brown has averaged 14.5 touches and 16.4 fantasy factors over his previous 4 outings. What makes him particularly interesting is his rest-of-season schedule, which ranks because the fourth best for fantasy working backs. Brown is a powerful commerce goal for managers in want of a working again. — Moody

FPI rank: 25
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 2.6%
Probabilities to win their division: 0.1%

First-half storyline: What was imagined to be the ultimate step in a three-year rebuild underneath coach Jonathan Gannon become a nightmarish begin to the season. After beginning 2-0, Arizona misplaced 5 in a row — all by a mixed 13 factors. Arizona has stored video games shut due to a protection stat, however the offense, which has been performed by Kyler Murray for 5 video games and Jacoby Brissett for the previous two, has struggled closing video games. A part of that's its incapacity to safe key first downs, resulting in a tough begin.

QB stat to know: Brissett has 860 passing yards in his three begins in comparison with 962 from Murray in his 5. What's telling, nevertheless, is that Brissett has been in a position to come inside 102 yards of Murray in 49 fewer makes an attempt. His yards per try are 1.7 yards greater than Murray, who's missed the previous three video games with a foot damage.

Second-half storyline: Can the Cardinals use Monday night time's win over the Cowboys as a slingshot into the second half? They snapped a five-game dropping streak and head into an NFC West matchup with some momentum in opposition to a red-hot Seattle Seahawks workforce that is 6-2 and tied for the division lead. How Arizona responds within the subsequent few weeks will dictate whether or not it could actually salvage its season or if Monday night time was a one-off. — Josh Weinfuss

Fantasy nugget: WR Marvin Harrison Jr. has had only one sport with 10 targets this season, when he scored a season-high 18.6 fantasy factors. He hasn't delivered the Yr 2 leap managers anticipated, however there's nonetheless time whether or not Murray or Brissett is underneath heart. The Cardinals have the Thirteenth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy broad receivers, so religion in Harrison Jr. might quickly be rewarded. — Moody

FPI rank: 26
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 26.9%
Probabilities to win their division: 11.8%

First-half storyline: Promise and inconsistency. Carolina seemed horrible throughout a 0-2 begin and through a Week 7 drubbing by Buffalo. In between, it discovered a method go 5-4 and be above .500 for the primary time this deep within the season since 2019. QB Bryce Younger and the protection are the longer term.

QB stat to know: When Younger protects the ball, he offers Carolina an opportunity. He has six landing passes and three interceptions throughout his four-game profitable streak. Avoiding stress is vital. He is been sacked 3 times in his previous three begins. Backup Andy Dalton was sacked seven instances in Carolina's solely loss the previous month, when Younger was sidelined.

Second-half storyline: The protection is enjoying effectively sufficient to maintain Carolina in most video games. That shall be essential in opposition to the 49ers, Rams, Seahawks and Bucs (twice) down the stretch with the Panthers solely 1½ video games behind first-place Tampa Bay within the NFC South. Pull off a few upsets, sweep the Bucs and so they have an opportunity to make the playoffs. — David Newton

Fantasy nugget: RB Rico Dowdle has recorded 25 or extra touches in three video games this season and has scored a minimum of 28 fantasy factors in every of them. Since making his first begin in Week 5, Dowdle has rushed for a league-best 633 yards over that span, together with a league-leading 454 yards on inside runs. Head coach Dave Canales advised reporters earlier than Week 9 that he could not ignore how excellent Dowdle has been, and the Panthers formally named him their starter earlier than kickoff. Managers can confidently deal with him as a weekly RB1. — Moody

FPI rank: 27
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 0.1%
Probabilities to win their division: >0.1%

First-half storyline: The Dolphins may need reset the tradition inside their constructing, however the outcomes have not translated on the sphere. Miami is 2-7 and effectively outdoors the AFC playoff dialog; at this level, after parting methods with basic supervisor Chris Grier, it is honest to say a rebuild is coming for what was as soon as one of many extra thrilling groups within the NFL.

QB stat to know: How about 5 — as within the variety of years it has been since Tua Tagovailoa has performed this poorly. He is averaging his fewest yards since his rookie season in 2020, has his worst quarterback ranking of his profession and presently leads the league with 11 interceptions. A few of his struggles will be attributed to supporting solid points, with Tyreek Hill out for the season and 40% of the Dolphins' beginning offensive line lacking, however as he'll let you know, he must play higher contemplating the $212.1 million extension that kicked on this yr.

Second-half storyline: What can Mike McDaniel get out of this workforce for the rest of the season? The fourth-year coach has been advised his job is protected till the top of the season, so long as the workforce continues to play for him. However with the Dolphins to be aggressive transferring gamers on the commerce deadline and a seemingly clear directive to start out including draft picks, McDaniel could also be preventing an uphill battle with the roster out there to him. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Fantasy nugget: RB De'Von Achane has been one of many few vibrant spots in a Dolphins offense that is struggling with out Hill. He is recorded a minimum of 16 touches and 16 or extra fantasy factors in every of the previous 4 video games, together with two with over 20 factors. Explosive as a runner and receiver, Achane advantages from the second-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy working backs. He is the form of participant to commerce for now earlier than the schedule totally breaks his method. — Moody

FPI rank: 28
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 0.2%
Probabilities to win their division: >0.1%

First-half storyline: The Raiders' 2-6 begin confirmed that persistence is required. Pete Carroll hoped to show Las Vegas into winners in his first season as head coach. Nevertheless, he has discovered the cruel actuality that it'd take longer than he anticipated. A rebuild takes time and it should take Carroll and first-year basic supervisor John Spytek greater than a season to proper the wrongs of Las Vegas' previous.

QB stat to know: What was as soon as a powerful go well with for Geno Smith has change into an Achilles heel. Smith has thrown eight interceptions and has a passer ranking of 46.3 on makes an attempt for 10-plus air yards. He had a passer ranking of 109.2 on go makes an attempt for 10-plus air yards when he was a starter for the Seahawks (2022 to 2024).

Second-half storyline: Can Smith present that he's nonetheless the precise participant to steer the franchise? Carroll believes in Smith. So do his teammates. Smith's efficiency within the loss in opposition to Jacksonville was encouraging. He threw for 284 yards, 4 touchdowns and an interception. If Smith is unable to construct on his efficiency within the coming methods, the Raiders could have robust inquiries to face within the offseason. — Ryan McFadden

Fantasy nugget: Ashton Jeanty set a profession excessive in offensive snaps in Week 9, ending with 18 touches and 19.9 fantasy factors. Carroll hinted that offensive coordinator Chip Kelly must get Jeanty the ball in area extra typically, praising his explosiveness and skill to make defenders miss. Regardless of 89 complete yards and a landing, Carroll clearly desires Jeanty featured much more. — Moody

FPI rank: 29
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 0.1%
Probabilities to win their division: >0.1%

First-half storyline: Aaron Glenn's first eight video games as head coach of his previous workforce had been a disappointment. Whereas the Jets had been aggressive in most video games (5 losses by one rating), they discovered methods to lose with alarming regularity. Nobody anticipated them to contend for a playoff spot, however the roster is healthier than a 1-7 file.

QB stat to know: Justin Fields is the NFL's solely certified passer with no interceptions. Ordinarily, that may be a parade-worthy feat for a franchise mired in quarterback mediocrity, however on this case, it illustrates a two-pronged situation — Fields' lack of aggressiveness and a poor passing assault. His air yards-per-attempt is just 6.6, under the league common (7.5).

Second-half storyline: The Jets are in full rebuild mode, evidenced by the trades of Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams. The main focus is on the longer term, so Glenn's problem is to maintain the locker room motivated with no sensible shot on the playoffs. He additionally should present enchancment as a coach, notably his sport administration. The opposite huge storyline: Can Fields play his method into their 2026 QB dialog? Likelihood is they may draft his substitute, maybe utilizing a number of the draft picks acquired within the trades. — Wealthy Cimini

Fantasy nugget: Do not overlook TE Mason Taylor when evaluating the Jets' passing sport. He is scored 11 or extra fantasy factors in every of the three video games the place he is seen seven or extra targets. Taylor and the Jets have the ninth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy tight ends and he is enjoying vital snaps, making him a probable fixture on a Jets workforce that does not have a No. 2 receiver. — Moody

FPI rank: 30
Probabilities to make the playoffs: >0.1%
Probabilities to win their division: >0.1%

First-half storyline: The Saints and their all-around struggles plagued them by way of one win and eight losses. New Orleans had points in each part of the sport within the first half, struggling on particular groups, giving up huge performs on protection and failing to search out offensive consistency. The Saints in the end determined to make a change on offense, benching quarterback Spencer Rattler for Tyler Shough in Week 8 to attempt to discover a spark.

QB stat to know: New Orleans has began 9 quarterbacks since Drew Brees retired following the 2020 season, together with 4 up to now two campaigns (Derek Carr, Rattler, Jake Haener and Shough). The 9 beginning quarterbacks ties the Saints with the New York Giants for second most within the NFL in that span, trailing solely the Cleveland Browns, who've began 12 quarterbacks in the identical timeframe.

Second-half storyline: What does New Orleans have in rookie Shough? The Saints are going to spend worthwhile time evaluating their second-round draft decide as coach Kellen Moore named him the starter for the remainder of the season. Shough's degree of success might dictate which course the Saints, who're 1-8 and projected by ESPN's Soccer Energy Index to carry the No. 2 decide, go in within the first spherical of the 2026 draft. — Katherine Terrell

Fantasy nugget: RB Alvin Kamara is a participant who is difficult to get enthusiastic about after posting a season-low 0.7 fantasy factors in Week 9 in opposition to the Rams. He is averaged 14.9 touches and simply 9.2 fantasy factors this season. The Saints' offense has been dreadful, rating twenty ninth in complete yards and thirty first in factors per sport. Nevertheless, New Orleans could be clever to lean on Kamara with the fifth-easiest remaining schedule for RBs, particularly with Shough underneath heart. — Moody

FPI rank: 31
Probabilities to make the playoffs: >0.1%
Probabilities to win their division: >0.1%

First-half storyline: This season was imagined to be in regards to the improvement of No.1 decide Cam Ward and establishing continuity round him. Ward represented a beam of hope that Tennessee can change into a related group once more after falling on onerous instances. The hope rapidly light because the Titans obtained off to a dismal begin, particularly on offense the place they scored solely 83 factors, the franchise's fewest by way of six video games since 1985, in accordance with ESPN Analysis, resulting in a 1-5 file and coach Brian Callahan being fired.

QB stat to know: Ward has developed a behavior of turning the soccer over. The rookie's 11 turnovers are tied for the second most within the league this season. Ward has 5 misplaced fumbles in 9 video games. Whereas at Miami final season, Ward solely had three misplaced fumbles and 13 complete in 57 collegiate begins.

Second-half storyline: The Titans focus shall be on creating youthful gamers akin to Ward together with rookie receivers Elic Ayomanor and Chimere Dike and tight finish Gunnar Helm. All eyes shall be on Ward and interim coach Mike McCoy as they fight to determine be extra environment friendly on offense to finish Ward's rookie season with momentum to hold over to 2026. — Turron Davenport

Fantasy nugget: RB Tyjae Spears has recorded three or extra receptions in 4 straight video games. If the Titans discover themselves in a sport the place they're trailing, Spears is the higher again than Tony Pollard to insert into lineups. With upcoming matchups in opposition to groups such because the Texans, Seahawks, 49ers and Chiefs, Tennessee might typically be enjoying from behind, which bodes effectively for Spears' utilization. — Moody

FPI rank: 32
Probabilities to make the playoffs: 0.1%
Probabilities to win their division: 0.1%

First-half storyline: The Browns offense is losing an elite protection. Cleveland ranks second in defensive success charge (61.5%), however its offense ranks thirtieth in scoring (15.8 factors per sport). The Browns' transfer at quarterback from Joe Flacco to Dillon Gabriel 4 video games into the season hasn't modified a lot of the offensive trajectory, both.

QB stat to know: The Browns have tried probably the most passes per sport (37.75) however rank thirty second in yards per try (5.0), one yard fewer than the next-closest workforce, the Tennessee Titans. Gabriel has additionally didn't push the ball downfield, rating thirtieth out of 32 qualifying passers in air yards per try (5.7).

Second-half storyline: When will rookie Shedeur Sanders play? Coach Kevin Stefanski mentioned Monday he's relinquishing playcalling duties to offensive coordinator Tommy Rees, however the coach is sticking with Gabriel at QB coming into Week 10. Browns proprietor Jimmy Haslam mentioned it is vital to see Gabriel and Sanders play earlier than the 2026 draft, when Cleveland has two first-round picks. — Daniel Oyefusi

Fantasy nugget: The Browns' Week 9 bye got here at a good time, as RB Quinshon Judkins is coping with an AC joint sprain. The rookie has logged 4 video games this season with 19 or extra touches and has scored a minimum of 16 fantasy factors in three of them, together with two video games with over 21 factors. Cleveland additionally has the third-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy working backs. — Moody